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Tropical Depression Fifteen-E Forecast Advisory Number 11
2017-09-14 10:33:23| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC THU SEP 14 2017 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 140833 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152017 0900 UTC THU SEP 14 2017 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 122.2W AT 14/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 122.2W AT 14/0900Z AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 122.0W FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 15.5N 123.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 15.5N 124.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 15.5N 124.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 15.5N 125.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 15.5N 125.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 15.5N 125.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 16.5N 125.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 122.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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