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Tropical Depression Fifteen-E Forecast Advisory Number 16
2017-09-15 16:39:45| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI SEP 15 2017 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 151439 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152017 1500 UTC FRI SEP 15 2017 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 125.0W AT 15/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 125.0W AT 15/1500Z AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 124.8W FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 15.7N 125.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 15.5N 125.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 15.6N 126.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 16.1N 126.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 17.5N 126.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 18.2N 126.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 18.0N 128.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 125.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
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