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Tropical Depression Fifteen-E Forecast Advisory Number 3
2017-09-12 10:37:22| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE SEP 12 2017 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 120837 TCMEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152017 0900 UTC TUE SEP 12 2017 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 115.1W AT 12/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 115.1W AT 12/0900Z AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 114.4W FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 15.5N 116.9W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 15.1N 118.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 15.1N 120.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 15.3N 121.6W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 15.9N 123.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 15.9N 125.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 115.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS
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