je.st
news
Tropical Depression Ileana Forecast Discussion Number 12
2024-09-15 10:44:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM MST Sun Sep 15 2024 064 WTPZ44 KNHC 150844 TCDEP4 Tropical Depression Ileana Discussion Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092024 200 AM MST Sun Sep 15 2024 All of Ileana's deep convection dissipated yesterday afternoon, and all that is left now is a swirl of low clouds off the coast of northern Sinaloa. An ASCAT-C pass from 0410 UTC showed maximum winds near 30 kt over the Gulf of California near northern Sinaloa, and a weather station in Topolobampo is no longer reporting winds to tropical storm force. As a result, Ileana is now designated as a 30-kt tropical depression, and all coastal warnings in Mexico have been discontinued. Ileana has been meandering, but the longer-term motion is west-northwestward, or 300/2 kt. Model guidance indicates that the cyclone should turn northwestward later today but maintain a generally slow motion while moving over the Gulf of California. Due to strong southwesterly shear and a very dry atmosphere, deep convection is not expected to redevelop, and it's likely that Gordon will be declared a remnant low later this morning. The remnant low is expected to dissipate on Monday. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 15/0900Z 25.5N 109.3W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 15/1800Z 25.8N 109.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 16/0600Z 26.5N 110.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 16/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Berg
Category:Transportation and Logistics
LATEST NEWS
Tropical Depression Ileana Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12
2024-09-15 10:43:54| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN SEP 15 2024 164 FOPZ14 KNHC 150843 PWSEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ILEANA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092024 0900 UTC SUN SEP 15 2024 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ILEANA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BERG
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Summary for Tropical Depression Ileana (EP4/EP092024)
2024-09-15 10:43:52| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...ILEANA WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... ...FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER THIS MORNING... As of 2:00 AM MST Sun Sep 15 the center of Ileana was located near 25.5, -109.3 with movement WNW at 2 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
Category: Transportation and Logistics