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Tropical Depression Karen Forecast Advisory Number 7
2019-09-23 22:39:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON SEP 23 2019 000 WTNT22 KNHC 232039 TCMAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122019 2100 UTC MON SEP 23 2019 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS * PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA * BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KAREN. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 65.6W AT 23/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 65.6W AT 23/2100Z AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 65.4W FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 17.2N 66.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 18.9N 66.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 21.3N 66.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 23.3N 65.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 26.5N 65.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 80SE 0SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 27.5N 65.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 27.5N 67.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 65.6W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 24/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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