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Tropical Depression NINETEEN-E Forecast Advisory Number 2
2014-10-02 04:31:22| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC THU OCT 02 2014 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 020231 TCMEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192014 0300 UTC THU OCT 02 2014 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 105.4W AT 02/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 105.4W AT 02/0300Z AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 105.0W FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 18.2N 106.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.7N 108.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 19.1N 109.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.6N 111.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 25SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 21.0N 114.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 70SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 23.0N 116.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 24.0N 116.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 105.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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