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Tropical Depression Narda Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6
2019-09-29 22:56:39| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN SEP 29 2019 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 292056 PWSEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NARDA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162019 2100 UTC SUN SEP 29 2019 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NARDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) HERMOSILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) X( 9) HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) X( 9) X( 9) LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) CULIACAN 34 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MAZATLAN 34 X 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SAN BLAS 34 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) P VALLARTA 34 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) L CARDENAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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