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Tropical Depression Paul Forecast Advisory Number 11

2018-09-11 04:45:58| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 0300 UTC TUE SEP 11 2018 320 WTPZ23 KNHC 110245 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAUL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182018 0300 UTC TUE SEP 11 2018 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 122.0W AT 11/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 122.0W AT 11/0300Z AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 121.6W FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 21.9N 123.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 22.3N 125.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 22.6N 127.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 22.9N 128.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 23.2N 130.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 23.2N 131.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 23.0N 133.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.6N 122.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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