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Tropical Depression Sara Wind Speed Probabilities Number 18
2024-11-18 03:32:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC MON NOV 18 2024 000 FONT14 KNHC 180232 PWSAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SARA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192024 0300 UTC MON NOV 18 2024 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SARA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER REINHART
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Tropical Depression Sara Forecast Advisory Number 18
2024-11-18 03:31:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC MON NOV 18 2024 000 WTNT24 KNHC 180231 TCMAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SARA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192024 0300 UTC MON NOV 18 2024 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 90.7W AT 18/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 90.7W AT 18/0300Z AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 90.2W FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 19.3N 92.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 90.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z $$ FORECASTER REINHART
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-11-18 00:18:35| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 172318 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 400 PM PST Sun Nov 17 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Offshore of Southwestern Mexico: An area of low pressure located about one hundred miles offshore of the coast of southwestern Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Development appears unlikely due to strong upper-level winds during the next day or so while the system moves east-southeastward at 5 to 10 mph, roughly parallel to the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Reinhart
Category: Transportation and Logistics
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