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Tropical Depression THREE-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1
2014-06-09 22:32:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON JUN 09 2014 000 FOPZ13 KNHC 092032 PWSEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032014 2100 UTC MON JUN 09 2014 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 4(10) 5(15) X(15) X(15) MANZANILLO 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 5(11) 2(13) 1(14) X(14) L CARDENAS 34 1 4( 5) 4( 9) 2(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) ZIHUATANEJO 34 1 2( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) ACAPULCO 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 18(20) 14(34) X(34) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) X(10) ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) 3(19) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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