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Tropical Storm Beryl Forecast Advisory Number 3
2024-06-29 10:35:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SAT JUN 29 2024 000 WTNT22 KNHC 290835 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM BERYL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022024 0900 UTC SAT JUN 29 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.8N 45.5W AT 29/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 18 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.8N 45.5W AT 29/0900Z AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.7N 44.6W FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 10.3N 48.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 10NW. 34 KT... 50NE 20SE 10SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 11.0N 51.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 11.6N 55.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 12.4N 58.4W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 13.3N 62.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 14.4N 65.7W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 40SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 16.8N 73.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 40SW 90NW. OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 19.0N 79.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 30SW 70NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.8N 45.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-06-29 07:36:21| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 290536 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sat Jun 29 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently-upgraded Tropical Storm Beryl, located over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean. Northwestern Caribbean/Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL94): A broad area of low pressure over the northwestern Caribbean Sea near the eastern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula continues to produce widespread but disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Development of this low is not anticipated before it moves inland over the Yucatan Peninsula later today. The system is then forecast to move west-northwestward, emerging over the Bay of Campeche tonight or early Sunday, where conditions appear generally conducive for further development. A tropical depression could form before the system moves inland again early next week over Mexico. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall associated with the area of low pressure will affect portions of Central America and Mexico through early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. Eastern Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave located several hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development of this system, and a tropical depression could form by the middle of next week while it moves generally westward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Beryl are issued under WMO header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Beryl are issued under WMO header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2. $$ Forecaster Beven
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-06-29 07:36:21| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 290536 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Fri Jun 28 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Bucci
Category: Transportation and Logistics