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Tropical Storm EARL Forecast Discussion Number 16
2016-08-06 10:35:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 400 AM CDT SAT AUG 06 2016 000 WTNT45 KNHC 060835 TCDAT5 TROPICAL STORM EARL DISCUSSION NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052016 400 AM CDT SAT AUG 06 2016 The center of Earl made landfall near 0200 UTC just south of Veracruz, Mexico. Since then, the center has moved farther inland and the cloud pattern has decayed. There is little data near the center at this time, so it is estimated that the intensity has decreased to 35 kt. Continued rapid weakening is expected, and the low-level circulation of Earl should dissipate over the mountains of Mexico after 12 hours. The remnants of Earl are expected to move westward and interact with an area of disturbed weather along the Pacific coast of Mexico, which could lead to the formation of a tropical cyclone in that area in 2-3 days time. The initial motion is 275/9, and a general westward motion is forecast until the cyclone dissipates. The main threat from Earl and its remnants will continue to be heavy rainfall that could cause flash floods and mudslides across a large portion of Central America and southeastern Mexico. The rain threat will continue after the cyclone dissipates. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 06/0900Z 19.0N 97.0W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 06/1800Z 19.0N 98.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND 24H 07/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Beven
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