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Tropical Storm EARL Public Advisory Number 16
2016-08-06 10:33:58| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 400 AM CDT SAT AUG 06 2016 000 WTNT35 KNHC 060833 TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM EARL ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052016 400 AM CDT SAT AUG 06 2016 ...EARL WEAKENING OVER MEXICO... ...TORRENTIAL RAINS COULD PRODUCE FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES... SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.0N 97.0W ABOUT 55 MI...85 KM WSW OF VERACRUZ MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Roca Partido northward to Tecolutla, Mexico. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Earl was located near latitude 19.0 North, longitude 97.0 West. Earl is moving toward the west near 10 mph (17 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue today. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Continued weakening is forecast as Earl moves into the mountains of Mexico, and the cyclone is forecast to dissipate by Saturday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km) mainly over water to the northeast of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions over the warning area should end later this morning. RAINFALL: Earl is expected to produce storm total rainfall of 8 to 12 inches with isolated maximum amounts 18 inches over portions of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Hidalgo, Oaxaca, Puebla, Tlaxcala and Veracruz through Saturday night. These rains could result in life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 700 AM CDT. Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Beven
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