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Tropical Storm EARL Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4
2016-08-03 10:49:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC WED AUG 03 2016 000 FONT15 KNHC 030849 PWSAT5 TROPICAL STORM EARL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052016 0900 UTC WED AUG 03 2016 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT TAMPICO MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) TUXPAN MX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) VERACRUZ MX 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) 2(13) X(13) FRONTERA MX 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 22(29) 4(33) X(33) X(33) FRONTERA MX 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) FRONTERA MX 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MERIDA MX 34 X 4( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) COZUMEL MX 34 3 4( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) BELIZE CITY 34 4 65(69) 9(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) BELIZE CITY 50 X 20(20) 12(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) BELIZE CITY 64 X 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) PUERTO BARRIOS 34 1 11(12) 5(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) PUERTO BARRIOS 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GUANAJA 34 67 23(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) GUANAJA 50 26 32(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) GUANAJA 64 2 7( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) PUERTO CABEZAS 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GRAND CAYMAN 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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