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Tropical Storm EARL Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5
2016-08-03 16:52:14| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC WED AUG 03 2016 000 FONT15 KNHC 031452 PWSAT5 TROPICAL STORM EARL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052016 1500 UTC WED AUG 03 2016 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT TUXPAN MX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) VERACRUZ MX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 7(10) X(10) X(10) FRONTERA MX 34 X 5( 5) 15(20) 7(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28) FRONTERA MX 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) FRONTERA MX 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) MERIDA MX 34 1 5( 6) 4(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) COZUMEL MX 34 4 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) BELIZE CITY 34 29 65(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) BELIZE CITY 50 3 50(53) 1(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) BELIZE CITY 64 X 17(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) PUERTO BARRIOS 34 4 10(14) 2(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) GUANAJA 34 97 X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) GUANAJA 50 58 X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) GUANAJA 64 29 1(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) PUERTO CABEZAS 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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