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Tropical Storm Gordon Forecast Advisory Number 15
2024-09-15 04:36:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SUN SEP 15 2024 904 WTNT22 KNHC 150236 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072024 0300 UTC SUN SEP 15 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 43.8W AT 15/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 245 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......140NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 0SE 0SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 43.8W AT 15/0300Z AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 43.6W FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 19.6N 45.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 19.5N 47.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 19.4N 48.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 19.3N 49.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 19.3N 50.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 19.4N 50.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 20.2N 51.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 22.0N 50.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.8N 44.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Tropical Storm Ileana Wind Speed Probabilities Number 11
2024-09-15 04:36:32| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC SUN SEP 15 2024 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 150236 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM ILEANA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092024 0300 UTC SUN SEP 15 2024 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ILEANA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HUATABAMPO 34 1 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) LOS MOCHIS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER BUCCI
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Summary for Tropical Storm Ileana (EP4/EP092024)
2024-09-15 04:36:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...ILEANA MEANDERING NEAR THE COAST OF NORTHWESTERN MEXICO... ...BRINGING TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS TO SINALOA... As of 8:00 PM MST Sat Sep 14 the center of Ileana was located near 25.5, -109.0 with movement N at 2 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1000 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
Category: Transportation and Logistics