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Tropical Storm Gordon Forecast Advisory Number 16
2024-09-15 11:00:32| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN SEP 15 2024 000 WTNT22 KNHC 150900 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072024 0900 UTC SUN SEP 15 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 44.8W AT 15/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 70NE 0SE 0SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 0SE 0SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 44.8W AT 15/0900Z AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 44.4W FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 19.5N 46.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 19.3N 47.6W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 19.1N 48.9W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 19.0N 49.9W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 19.0N 50.4W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 19.2N 50.7W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 20.6N 50.6W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 23.0N 49.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.6N 44.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Tropical Depression Ileana Graphics
2024-09-15 10:45:00| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 15 Sep 2024 08:45:00 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 15 Sep 2024 09:28:43 GMT
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Tropical Depression Ileana Forecast Discussion Number 12
2024-09-15 10:44:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 AM MST Sun Sep 15 2024 064 WTPZ44 KNHC 150844 TCDEP4 Tropical Depression Ileana Discussion Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092024 200 AM MST Sun Sep 15 2024 All of Ileana's deep convection dissipated yesterday afternoon, and all that is left now is a swirl of low clouds off the coast of northern Sinaloa. An ASCAT-C pass from 0410 UTC showed maximum winds near 30 kt over the Gulf of California near northern Sinaloa, and a weather station in Topolobampo is no longer reporting winds to tropical storm force. As a result, Ileana is now designated as a 30-kt tropical depression, and all coastal warnings in Mexico have been discontinued. Ileana has been meandering, but the longer-term motion is west-northwestward, or 300/2 kt. Model guidance indicates that the cyclone should turn northwestward later today but maintain a generally slow motion while moving over the Gulf of California. Due to strong southwesterly shear and a very dry atmosphere, deep convection is not expected to redevelop, and it's likely that Gordon will be declared a remnant low later this morning. The remnant low is expected to dissipate on Monday. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 15/0900Z 25.5N 109.3W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 15/1800Z 25.8N 109.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 16/0600Z 26.5N 110.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 16/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Berg
Category: Transportation and Logistics