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Tropical Storm Isaac Wind Speed Probabilities Number 17
2018-09-11 22:33:32| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE SEP 11 2018 730 FONT14 KNHC 112033 PWSAT4 TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092018 2100 UTC TUE SEP 11 2018 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PT GALLINAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) CURACAO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) MONTEGO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) KINGSTON 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) LES CAYES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 1(10) CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 14(19) 1(20) CAPE BEATA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) PONCE PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) AGUADILLA PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SAN JUAN PR 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) VIEQUES PR 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 13(17) X(17) X(17) SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 10(14) X(14) X(14) SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 16(23) X(23) X(23) SAINT CROIX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 7(18) X(18) X(18) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 19(23) 7(30) X(30) X(30) ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ST KITTS-NEVIS 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) BARBUDA 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 15(21) 3(24) X(24) X(24) BARBUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 24(31) 2(33) X(33) X(33) ANTIGUA 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ANTIGUA 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) 13(13) 40(53) 2(55) X(55) X(55) GUADELOUPE 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) GUADELOUPE 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) AVES 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 27(30) 27(57) X(57) X(57) AVES 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 16(21) X(21) X(21) AVES 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) DOMINICA 34 X X( X) 16(16) 45(61) 2(63) X(63) X(63) DOMINICA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 24(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26) DOMINICA 64 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MARTINIQUE 34 X 1( 1) 16(17) 33(50) 1(51) X(51) X(51) MARTINIQUE 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 17(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) MARTINIQUE 64 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SAINT LUCIA 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 14(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23) SAINT LUCIA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SAINT LUCIA 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) SAINT VINCENT 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) BARBADOS 34 X 2( 2) 6( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) GRENADA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) TRINIDADTOBAGO 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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