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Tropical Storm John Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3
2024-09-23 10:52:32| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC MON SEP 23 2024 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 230852 PWSEP5 TROPICAL STORM JOHN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102024 0900 UTC MON SEP 23 2024 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOHN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT P MALDONADO 34 X 6( 6) 5(11) 3(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) P ANGEL 34 X 15(15) 20(35) 9(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) P ANGEL 50 X 2( 2) 6( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) P ANGEL 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) HUATULCO 34 X 4( 4) 10(14) 4(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) 15N 95W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
Category:Transportation and Logistics
LATEST NEWS
Tropical Storm John Forecast Advisory Number 3
2024-09-23 10:51:58| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC MON SEP 23 2024 508 WTPZ25 KNHC 230851 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM JOHN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102024 0900 UTC MON SEP 23 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 98.5W AT 23/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 98.5W AT 23/0900Z AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 98.5W FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 14.8N 98.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 40NE 30SE 40SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 15.4N 97.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 40NE 50SE 50SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 15.8N 97.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 40NE 60SE 70SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 16.0N 97.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 80SE 50SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 98.5W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPEP5...AT 23/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-09-23 07:43:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 230543 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico (AL97): Showers and thunderstorms are beginning to show signs of organization with a broad area of low pressure located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea. Environmental conditions appear favorable for further development of this system, and a tropical depression or storm is likely to form over the next couple of days as the system moves northward across the northwestern Caribbean Sea and into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico where additional development is possible. Regardless of development, this system is expected to produce heavy rains over portions of Central America during the next several days. Interests in the northwestern Caribbean, the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico, and western Cuba should closely monitor the progress of this system. Later this week, the system is forecast to move generally northward across the eastern Gulf of Mexico, and interests along the northern and northeastern Gulf Coast should also closely monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave located between western Africa and the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions appear generally favorable for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the middle to latter part of this week while it moves westward to west-northwestward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Papin
Category: Transportation and Logistics