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Tropical Storm Karen Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4
2019-09-23 04:54:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC MON SEP 23 2019 000 FONT12 KNHC 230254 PWSAT2 TROPICAL STORM KAREN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122019 0300 UTC MON SEP 23 2019 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) PONCE PR 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) AGUADILLA PR 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) SAN JUAN PR 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) 2(18) X(18) X(18) VIEQUES PR 34 X 1( 1) 15(16) 19(35) 3(38) X(38) X(38) VIEQUES PR 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAINT THOMAS 34 X 1( 1) 10(11) 15(26) 3(29) X(29) X(29) SAINT THOMAS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAINT CROIX 34 X 2( 2) 16(18) 7(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26) SAINT CROIX 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) SABA 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) ST EUSTATIUS 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BARBUDA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ANTIGUA 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GUADELOUPE 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) AVES 34 5 9(14) X(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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