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Tropical Storm Kirk Forecast Advisory Number 7
2024-10-01 10:52:19| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE OCT 01 2024 692 WTNT22 KNHC 010844 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122024 0900 UTC TUE OCT 01 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 38.0W AT 01/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......140NE 130SE 0SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE 60SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 38.0W AT 01/0900Z AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 37.5W FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 15.5N 39.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...160NE 150SE 40SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 16.5N 41.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...170NE 150SE 70SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 17.6N 43.1W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...180NE 160SE 80SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.7N 44.4W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...180NE 170SE 100SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 19.9N 45.8W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 40SW 70NW. 34 KT...180NE 170SE 110SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 21.1N 47.1W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...190NE 180SE 110SW 160NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 24.2N 49.7W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 70SW 100NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 130SW 180NW. OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 29.0N 49.7W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT...150NE 130SE 80SW 110NW. 34 KT...220NE 230SE 140SW 180NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 38.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z $$ FORECASTER HAGEN
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Tropical Storm Kirk Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7
2024-10-01 10:52:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC TUE OCT 01 2024 690 FONT12 KNHC 010844 PWSAT2 TROPICAL STORM KIRK WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122024 0900 UTC TUE OCT 01 2024 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KIRK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 38.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER HAGEN
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Tropical Storm Kirk Graphics
2024-10-01 10:47:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 01 Oct 2024 08:47:49 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 01 Oct 2024 08:47:49 GMT
Category: Transportation and Logistics