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Tropical Storm Kirk Wind Speed Probabilities Number 8
2024-10-01 17:11:55| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE OCT 01 2024 378 FONT12 KNHC 011452 PWSAT2 TROPICAL STORM KIRK WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122024 1500 UTC TUE OCT 01 2024 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KIRK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 39.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER PAPIN
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Summary for Tropical Storm Kirk (AT2/AL122024)
2024-10-01 17:09:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...NEARBY BUOY FINDS A STRONGER KIRK... As of 11:00 AM AST Tue Oct 1 the center of Kirk was located near 15.3, -39.2 with movement WNW at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 988 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 70 mph.
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Tropical Storm Kirk Public Advisory Number 8
2024-10-01 17:09:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST Tue Oct 01 2024 393 WTNT32 KNHC 011451 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Kirk Advisory Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122024 1100 AM AST Tue Oct 01 2024 ...NEARBY BUOY FINDS A STRONGER KIRK... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.3N 39.2W ABOUT 1010 MI...1630 KM W OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Kirk was located near latitude 15.3 North, longitude 39.2 West. Kirk is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue with a gradual turn more northwestward over the next several days. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is anticipated and Kirk should become a hurricane by tonight, and a major hurricane in a couple of days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles (315 km) from the center. A PIRATA Buoy (13008) earlier this morning measured a sustained wind of 40 mph (64 km/h), and a gust to 51 mph (83 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 988 mb (29.18 inches). A PIRATA Buoy 13008 earlier reported a minimum pressure of 990.2 mb (29.24 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Papin
Category: Transportation and Logistics