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Tropical Storm NORBERT Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1
2014-09-02 16:45:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE SEP 02 2014 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 021445 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM NORBERT WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142014 1500 UTC TUE SEP 02 2014 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NORBERT WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 5( 8) 8(16) 1(17) X(17) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 6(13) 1(14) 1(15) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 6( 9) 1(10) X(10) LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) CULIACAN 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) MAZATLAN 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAN BLAS 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) P VALLARTA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MANZANILLO 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 2( 2) 17(19) 14(33) 5(38) X(38) X(38) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
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