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Tropical Storm Narda Forecast Advisory Number 3
2019-09-29 04:41:28| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC SUN SEP 29 2019 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 290241 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM NARDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162019 0300 UTC SUN SEP 29 2019 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ACAPULCO TO CABO CORRIENTES A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 100.6W AT 29/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 100.6W AT 29/0300Z AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 100.3W FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 16.7N 101.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 120SE 60SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 18.3N 103.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 20NE 90SE 60SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 20.3N 105.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 60SE 50SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 22.2N 107.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 24.9N 109.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 25.5N 109.8W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 26.5N 110.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 100.6W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPEP1...AT 29/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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