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Tropical Storm Narda Forecast Advisory Number 5

2019-09-29 16:56:06| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC SUN SEP 29 2019 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 291455 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM NARDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162019 1500 UTC SUN SEP 29 2019 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ACAPULCO TO CABO CORRIENTES A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 102.1W AT 29/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 100SE 60SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 360SE 240SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 102.1W AT 29/1500Z AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 101.5W FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 19.3N 103.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 21.5N 105.6W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 23.2N 107.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 24.5N 108.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 26.5N 109.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 60SE 30SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 28.0N 110.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 102.1W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPEP1...AT 29/1800Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN

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