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Tropical Storm Narda Public Advisory Number 5
2019-09-29 16:56:07| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1000 AM CDT Sun Sep 29 2019 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 291455 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Narda Advisory Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP162019 1000 AM CDT Sun Sep 29 2019 ...CENTER OF NARDA MOVING ONTO THE MEXICAN COAST NEAR LAZARO CARDENAS... ...BRINGING FLOODING RAINS TO PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.1N 102.1W ABOUT 10 MI...15 KM NE OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO ABOUT 155 MI...250 KM ESE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Acapulco to Cabo Corrientes A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12 to 24 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Narda was located near latitude 18.1 North, longitude 102.1 West. Narda is moving toward the northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue with some decrease in forward speed during the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Narda will move over or near portions of the western and southwestern coasts of Mexico through tonight, then emerge over the Pacific on Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is expected as the center moves over land, and Narda is forecast to weaken to a depression tonight. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) mainly to the southeast of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are now occuring within the warning area and should continue for the next several hours, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous. RAINFALL: Narda is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 5 to 10 inches along the southwestern coast of Mexico from Oaxaca to Nayarit, and 1 to 4 inches over Baja California Sur through Monday night. Isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches are possible from Oaxaca to Nayarit. This rainfall will cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides, especially in mountainous terrain. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 100 PM CDT. Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Beven
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