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Tropical Storm Narda Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4
2019-09-29 10:32:28| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC SUN SEP 29 2019 420 FOPZ11 KNHC 290832 PWSEP1 TROPICAL STORM NARDA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162019 0900 UTC SUN SEP 29 2019 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NARDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) X(10) 1(11) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) CULIACAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) 12(12) 9(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) ISLAS MARIAS 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MAZATLAN 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) P VALLARTA 34 X 1( 1) 14(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X 23(23) 12(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) BARRA NAVIDAD 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MANZANILLO 34 X 38(38) 5(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) MANZANILLO 50 X 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MANZANILLO 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) L CARDENAS 34 11 21(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) L CARDENAS 50 1 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ZIHUATANEJO 34 14 2(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) 15N 100W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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