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Tropical Storm Patty Forecast Advisory Number 8

2024-11-04 03:34:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC MON NOV 04 2024 000 WTNT22 KNHC 040234 TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM PATTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172024 0300 UTC MON NOV 04 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.7N 20.0W AT 04/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 85 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 20NE 60SE 70SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 240SE 360SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.7N 20.0W AT 04/0300Z AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.5N 21.1W FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 38.4N 16.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 20NE 50SE 50SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 39.8N 12.8W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 41.0N 10.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.7N 20.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z $$ FORECASTER HAGEN


Category:Transportation and Logistics

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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2024-11-04 01:06:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 040005 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 700 PM EST Sun Nov 3 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Subtropical Storm Patty, located over the northeastern Atlantic Ocean east of the Azores Islands. The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Eighteen, located over the south-central portion of the Caribbean Sea. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...near 100 percent. Southwestern Atlantic: An area of disturbed weather could develop from an interaction of moisture with an upper-level trough digging near the northern Leeward Islands around the middle of this week. Some slow subtropical or tropical development of this system is possible after that time as it moves generally westward over the southwestern Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. Near the Southeastern Bahamas: A trough of low pressure continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms along with gusty winds over the southeastern Bahamas and adjacent waters. This system is expected to be absorbed into Potential Tropical Cyclone Eighteen (AL18) over the Caribbean Sea by late Monday, and development before that time is no longer anticipated. Regardless, locally heavy rains are possible during the next couple of days across the Greater Antilles and the Bahamas. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent. && Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Eighteen are issued under WMO header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3. Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Eighteen are issued under WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3. $$ Forecaster Papin


Category: Transportation and Logistics

 

 

Potential Tropical Cyclone Eighteen Graphics

2024-11-04 00:44:12| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 03 Nov 2024 23:44:12 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 03 Nov 2024 21:28:45 GMT


Category: Transportation and Logistics

 

 

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