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Tropical Storm Sergio Forecast Advisory Number 49
2018-10-11 16:38:49| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC THU OCT 11 2018 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 111438 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM SERGIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 49 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212018 1500 UTC THU OCT 11 2018 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM MULEGE TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA AND HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH SOUTH OF MULEGE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUNTA EUGENIA TO CABO SAN LAZARO * EAST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM MULEGE TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND NORTHWESTERN SONORA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF SERGIO. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 118.7W AT 11/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 70NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT.......110NE 120SE 110SW 110NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 270SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 118.7W AT 11/1500Z AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 119.4W FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 24.2N 116.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...100NE 110SE 90SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 27.0N 113.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 120SE 90SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 29.5N 109.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.2N 118.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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