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Post-Tropical Cyclone JAVIER Public Advisory Number 11

2016-08-09 22:30:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 300 PM MDT TUE AUG 09 2016 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 092030 TCPEP1 BULLETIN POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE JAVIER ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112016 300 PM MDT TUE AUG 09 2016 ...JAVIER BECOMES A REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.6N 112.0W ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM SE OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Javier was located near latitude 24.6 North, longitude 112.0 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through Wednesday. On the forecast track, the low will continue to move near or over the southern Baja California peninsula for the next day or so. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Continued gradual weakening is forecast for the next day or so, and the low is expected to dissipate on Thursday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: The remnant low of Javier is expected to produce storm total rainfall of 2 to 4 inches over Baja California Sur and northwest Mexico through Thursday morning, with maximum amounts of up to 8 inches possible. Moisture partially related to Javier has spread into Arizona and New Mexico, where 2 to 4 inches of rain, with isolated amounts of up to 8 inches, are possible through Thursday. The expected rainfall could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.shtml. $$ Forecaster Pasch

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Post-Tropical Cyclone JAVIER Forecast Advisory Number 11

2016-08-09 22:30:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 2100 UTC TUE AUG 09 2016 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 092030 TCMEP1 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE JAVIER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112016 2100 UTC TUE AUG 09 2016 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 112.0W AT 09/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 112.0W AT 09/2100Z AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 111.7W FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 25.3N 112.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 26.2N 113.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 27.0N 114.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.6N 112.0W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER PASCH

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Post-Tropical Cyclone HOWARD Graphics

2016-08-03 22:33:46| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 03 Aug 2016 20:33:46 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 03 Aug 2016 20:32:49 GMT

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Summary for Post-Tropical Cyclone HOWARD (EP4/EP092016)

2016-08-03 22:32:16| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...HOWARD BECOMES A REMNANT LOW, THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... As of 2:00 PM PDT Wed Aug 3 the center of HOWARD was located near 21.3, -135.2 with movement WNW at 16 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

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Post-Tropical Cyclone FRANK Graphics

2016-07-28 23:03:40| Tropical Depression LIDIA

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 28 Jul 2016 20:33:19 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 28 Jul 2016 21:03:36 GMT

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