je.st
news
Tag: gilma
Post-Tropical Cyclone Gilma Forecast Discussion Number 13
2018-07-29 22:52:27| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT Sun Jul 29 2018 076 WTPZ43 KNHC 292052 TCDEP3 Post-Tropical Cyclone Gilma Discussion Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082018 200 PM PDT Sun Jul 29 2018 Gilma has lacked organized deep convection near the center for at least 12 hours now. Although there has been a cluster of thunderstorms lingering about 90 n mi southeast of the exposed center, this convection has been pulling away from the system and lacks sufficient organization necessary for a tropical cyclone. Therefore, this is the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on Gilma. Very strong west-northwesterly shear is expected to continue during the next few days. These hostile winds combined with marginal SSTs and dry air should cause the remnant low to degenerate into a trough in 36 to 48 hours. The remnant low is moving westward at 13 kt steered by the low-level flow on the south side of a ridge, and it should cross into the Central Pacific basin shortly. This general motion is expected to continue until the system dissipates. For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.shtml. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 29/2100Z 16.2N 139.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 30/0600Z 16.2N 141.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 30/1800Z 16.1N 143.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 31/0600Z 15.9N 146.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 31/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: number
discussion
forecast
cyclone
Post-Tropical Cyclone Gilma Graphics
2018-07-29 22:51:47| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 29 Jul 2018 20:51:47 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 29 Jul 2018 21:25:09 GMT
Tags: graphics
cyclone
gilma
posttropical
Summary for Post-Tropical Cyclone Gilma (EP3/EP082018)
2018-07-29 22:50:28| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...GILMA IS NOW A REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... As of 2:00 PM PDT Sun Jul 29 the center of Gilma was located near 16.2, -139.7 with movement W at 15 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
Tags: summary
cyclone
gilma
posttropical
Post-Tropical Cyclone Gilma Public Advisory Number 13
2018-07-29 22:50:28| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 200 PM PDT Sun Jul 29 2018 545 WTPZ33 KNHC 292050 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Gilma Advisory Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082018 200 PM PDT Sun Jul 29 2018 ...GILMA IS NOW A REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.2N 139.7W ABOUT 1040 MI...1675 KM E OF HILO HAWAII MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Gilma was located near latitude 16.2 North, longitude 139.7 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the west near 15 mph (24 km/h). This general motion with a slight decrease in forward speed is expected during the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is expected, and the remnant low is forecast to dissipate in a couple of days. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on Gilma. For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.shtml. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: number
public
advisory
cyclone
Post-Tropical Cyclone Gilma Wind Speed Probabilities Number 13
2018-07-29 22:50:27| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN JUL 29 2018 282 FOPZ13 KNHC 292050 PWSEP3 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE GILMA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082018 2100 UTC SUN JUL 29 2018 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE GILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 139.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 145W 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Tags: number
speed
wind
cyclone