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Post-Tropical Cyclone Dorian Public Advisory Number 64

2019-09-09 04:42:15| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 PM AST Sun Sep 08 2019 000 WTNT35 KNHC 090242 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Dorian Advisory Number 64 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019 1100 PM AST Sun Sep 08 2019 ...POST-TROPICAL DORIAN MOVES OVER THE COLD WATERS OF THE LABRADOR SEA AND BECOMES FULLY EXTRATROPICAL... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...52.1N 53.4W ABOUT 375 MI...600 KM N OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 24 MPH...39 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Canadian Hurricane Center has discontinued all tropical cyclone warnings for Atlantic Canada. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Dorian was located near latitude 52.1 North, longitude 53.4 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the east-northeast near 24 mph (39 km/h) and this motion is forecast to continue through Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of the post-tropical cyclone Dorian will continue to move away from Atlantic Canada through Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Some weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the post-tropical cyclone is forecast to be absorbed by a larger low pressure system on Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 415 miles (665 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 980 mb (28.94 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical-storm-force wind gusts will continue across portions of southeastern Newfoundland until early Monday and then diminish by late Monday morning. STORM SURGE: Storm surge along the northeastern Gulf of St. Lawrence and the West Coast of Newfoundland will continue to subside through Monday morning. RAINFALL: Dorian is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of less than 1 inch across far eastern Quebec into Newfoundland and Labrador. SURF: Large swells are affecting the coast of Atlantic Canada, and they will continue to affect that area during the next couple of days. Swells along the mid-Atlantic and New England coasts of the U.S. will continue for another day or so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php. $$ Forecaster Stewart

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Post-Tropical Cyclone Dorian Forecast Advisory Number 64

2019-09-09 04:41:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC MON SEP 09 2019 545 WTNT25 KNHC 090241 TCMAT5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE DORIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 64 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052019 0300 UTC MON SEP 09 2019 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTER HAS DISCONTINUED ALL TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS FOR ATLANTIC CANADA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 52.1N 53.4W AT 09/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 21 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 90SE 60SW 0NW. 34 KT.......360NE 330SE 180SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..360NE 840SE 720SW 270NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 52.1N 53.4W AT 09/0300Z AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 51.6N 54.8W FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 53.6N 48.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...420NE 390SE 300SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 55.1N 41.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...420NE 360SE 360SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 56.6N 31.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...300NE 360SE 360SW 300NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 52.1N 53.4W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER STEWART

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Post-Tropical Cyclone Dorian Graphics

2019-09-09 01:39:36| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 08 Sep 2019 23:39:36 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 08 Sep 2019 21:24:35 GMT

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Summary for Post-Tropical Cyclone Dorian (AT5/AL052019)

2019-09-09 01:36:10| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...POST-TROPICAL DORIAN CONTINUES TO WEAKEN WHILE IT MOVES ACROSS NEWFOUNDLAND AND SOUTHEASTERN LABRADOR... As of 8:00 PM AST Sun Sep 8 the center of Dorian was located near 51.5, -55.5 with movement NE at 23 mph. The minimum central pressure was 979 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.

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Post-Tropical Cyclone Dorian Public Advisory Number 63A

2019-09-09 01:36:10| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 800 PM AST Sun Sep 08 2019 000 WTNT35 KNHC 082336 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Dorian Intermediate Advisory Number 63A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019 800 PM AST Sun Sep 08 2019 ...POST-TROPICAL DORIAN CONTINUES TO WEAKEN WHILE IT MOVES ACROSS NEWFOUNDLAND AND SOUTHEASTERN LABRADOR... SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...51.5N 55.5W ABOUT 25 MI...45 KM ENE OF ST. ANTHONY NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Cape Anguille to Fogo Island * Mutton Bay to Mary's Harbour A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Dorian was located near latitude 51.5 North, longitude 55.5 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northeast near 23 mph (37 km/h) and this motion is forecast to continue tonight. A motion toward the east-northeast is expected Monday through Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of the post-tropical cyclone will move off of the northern coast of Newfoundland shortly, then move farther away from Atlantic Canada tonight and Monday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. The post-tropical cyclone should continue to weaken, and it is forecast to be absorbed by another low pressure system on Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 355 miles (575 km) from the center. St. John's, Newfoundland, recently reported sustained winds of 38 mph (61 km/h) and a gust of 47 mph (76 km/h). The minimum central pressure based on surface observations is estimated to be 979 mb (28.91 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the Tropical Storm Warning area this evening. Winds will diminish by early Monday. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is likely in the northeastern Gulf of St. Lawrence and the West Coast of Newfoundland. RAINFALL: Dorian is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 1 to 2 inches across far eastern Quebec into Newfoundland and Labrador. SURF: Large swells are affecting the coast of Atlantic Canada, and they will continue to affect that area during the next couple of days. Swells along the mid-Atlantic and New England coasts of the U.S. will continue for another day or so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Stewart

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