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Post-Tropical Cyclone ROSLYN Forecast Advisory Number 17

2016-09-29 16:53:12| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC THU SEP 29 2016 000 WTPZ23 KNHC 291452 TCMEP3 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ROSLYN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182016 1500 UTC THU SEP 29 2016 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 115.5W AT 29/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 115.5W AT 29/1500Z AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 115.4W FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 24.1N 116.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 24.4N 117.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.5N 115.5W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON ROSLYN. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER PASCH

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Tropical Depression ROSLYN Graphics

2016-09-29 10:53:30| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 29 Sep 2016 08:53:30 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 29 Sep 2016 08:52:33 GMT

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Summary for Tropical Depression ROSLYN (EP3/EP182016)

2016-09-29 10:52:07| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...ROSLYN A LITTLE WEAKER... ...FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY... As of 2:00 AM PDT Thu Sep 29 the center of ROSLYN was located near 22.7, -115.3 with movement NNW at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.

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Tropical Depression ROSLYN Public Advisory Number 16

2016-09-29 10:52:07| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 200 AM PDT THU SEP 29 2016 000 WTPZ33 KNHC 290851 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ROSLYN ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP182016 200 AM PDT THU SEP 29 2016 ...ROSLYN A LITTLE WEAKER... ...FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.7N 115.3W ABOUT 345 MI...555 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Roslyn was located near latitude 22.7 North, longitude 115.3 West. Roslyn is moving toward the north-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A turn toward the northwest and west-northwest is expected later today and tonight. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast, and Roslyn is expected to become a remnant low later today. The remnant low should then dissipate on Friday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT. $$ Forecaster Berg

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