je.st
news
Tag: wilfred
Summary for Tropical Depression Wilfred (AT3/AL232020)
2020-09-20 16:45:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...WILFRED WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC... As of 11:00 AM AST Sun Sep 20 the center of Wilfred was located near 15.7, -44.2 with movement WNW at 20 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1008 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
Tags: summary
tropical
depression
wilfred
Tropical Depression Wilfred Public Advisory Number 9
2020-09-20 16:45:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST Sun Sep 20 2020 000 WTNT33 KNHC 201445 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Wilfred Advisory Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL232020 1100 AM AST Sun Sep 20 2020 ...WILFRED WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.7N 44.2W ABOUT 1340 MI...2160 KM W OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS ABOUT 1135 MI...1830 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Wilfred was located near latitude 15.7 North, longitude 44.2 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 20 mph (31 km/h). Wilfred should slow its forward speed while heading toward the west or west-northwestward for the next few days until dissipation. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Wilfred should weaken to a remnant low within a couple days. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Landsea
Tags: number
public
advisory
tropical
Tropical Depression Wilfred Forecast Advisory Number 9
2020-09-20 16:44:34| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN SEP 20 2020 000 WTNT23 KNHC 201444 TCMAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILFRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL232020 1500 UTC SUN SEP 20 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 44.2W AT 20/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 44.2W AT 20/1500Z AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 43.5W FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 16.2N 46.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 16.5N 48.4W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 16.8N 50.0W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 17.0N 51.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 17.2N 52.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 44.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA
Tags: number
advisory
tropical
depression
Tropical Storm Wilfred Graphics
2020-09-20 10:37:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 20 Sep 2020 08:37:31 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 20 Sep 2020 09:41:01 GMT
Tags: graphics
storm
tropical
wilfred
Tropical Storm Wilfred Forecast Discussion Number 8
2020-09-20 10:36:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST Sun Sep 20 2020 000 WTNT43 KNHC 200836 TCDAT3 Tropical Storm Wilfred Discussion Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL232020 500 AM AST Sun Sep 20 2020 It is unclear if Wilfred still exists, and if so, exactly where it is located. Although there is clear evidence of a broad elongated circulation, the formerly small center of Wilfred is either obscured by higher clouds or has dissipated. AMSR-2 microwave imagery at 0431 UTC showed only evidence of a northwest-southeast oriented trough with one or more embedded mesoscale lows. Visible imagery and the next round of ASCAT passes will hopefully provide more information about Wilfred's status later this morning. The intensity remains 35 kt based on ASCAT data from last night, but more recent Dvorak estimates are lower. Due to the uncertainty associated with Wilfred's status and location, the motion estimate is a very uncertain 295/15 kt. In general, Wilfred or its eventual remnants should continue on a west-northwestward heading today, and then could turn westward by early Monday. The NHC forecast is very similar to the previous one and lies near the middle of the guidance suite. Virtually no change has been made to the official intensity forecast. Wilfred will likely gradually weaken until it dissipates due to a combination of increasing wind shear and a dry environment. The exact point at which Wilfred will become a trough varies from model to model, but confidence is fairly high that Wilfred won't last much longer than another day or two. The NHC forecast carries Wilfred for 48 h based on persistence from the previous advisory, but if recent trends hold, it could dissipate as soon as later today. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 20/0900Z 15.0N 42.0W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 20/1800Z 15.7N 44.1W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 21/0600Z 16.2N 46.5W 30 KT 35 MPH 36H 21/1800Z 16.5N 48.5W 30 KT 35 MPH 48H 22/0600Z 16.7N 50.3W 25 KT 30 MPH 60H 22/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
Tags: number
discussion
storm
tropical