je.st
news
Tag: jerry
Summary for Tropical Storm Jerry (AT5/AL102019)
2019-09-18 16:40:50| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...JERRY STRENGTHENING OVER THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC OCEAN... As of 11:00 AM AST Wed Sep 18 the center of Jerry was located near 14.6, -49.2 with movement WNW at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1002 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
Tags: summary
storm
jerry
tropical
Tropical Storm Jerry Public Advisory Number 5
2019-09-18 16:40:50| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1100 AM AST Wed Sep 18 2019 000 WTNT35 KNHC 181440 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Jerry Advisory Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102019 1100 AM AST Wed Sep 18 2019 ...JERRY STRENGTHENING OVER THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC OCEAN... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.6N 49.2W ABOUT 855 MI...1375 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the northern Leeward Islands should monitor the progress of this system. Watches could be issued this afternoon or evening. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Jerry was located near latitude 14.6 North, longitude 49.2 West. Jerry is moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). A west- northwest motion at a slightly faster forward speed is expected over the next few days. On the forecast track, the system will be near the northern Leeward Islands Friday and pass north of Puerto Rico on Saturday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Jerry is forecast to become a hurricane by late Thursday, with little change in strength anticipated on Friday and Saturday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: number
public
storm
advisory
Tropical Storm Jerry Forecast Advisory Number 5
2019-09-18 16:40:50| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC WED SEP 18 2019 000 WTNT25 KNHC 181440 TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102019 1500 UTC WED SEP 18 2019 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. WATCHES COULD BE ISSUED THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 49.2W AT 18/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 49.2W AT 18/1500Z AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 48.5W FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 15.3N 51.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 16.3N 53.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 17.3N 56.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 18.4N 59.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 20.5N 65.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 23.3N 69.1W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 26.5N 70.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N 49.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
Tags: number
storm
advisory
jerry
Tropical Storm Jerry Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5
2019-09-18 16:40:50| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC WED SEP 18 2019 041 FONT15 KNHC 181440 PWSAT5 TROPICAL STORM JERRY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102019 1500 UTC WED SEP 18 2019 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JERRY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 6(14) GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) 4(22) GRAND TURK 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) GRAND TURK 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 1(11) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) PONCE PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) AGUADILLA PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) SAN JUAN PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) VIEQUES PR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 3(18) X(18) VIEQUES PR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) 3(25) X(25) SAINT THOMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) SAINT THOMAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 1(14) X(14) SAINT CROIX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 30(33) 1(34) X(34) SAINT MAARTEN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11) SAINT MAARTEN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SABA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 16(19) 1(20) X(20) SABA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SABA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) ST EUSTATIUS 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) 1(18) X(18) ST EUSTATIUS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ST EUSTATIUS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) 1(16) X(16) ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BARBUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 22(29) X(29) X(29) BARBUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) BARBUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 10(15) 1(16) X(16) ANTIGUA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) AVES 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) DOMINICA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MARTINIQUE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE
Summary for Tropical Storm Jerry (AT5/AL102019)
2019-09-18 13:30:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...JERRY BECOMES THE TENTH NAMED STORM OF THE 2019 SEASON... As of 5:00 AM AST Wed Sep 18 the center of Jerry was located near 14.1, -47.7 with movement WNW at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
Tags: summary
storm
jerry
tropical
Sites : [40] [41] [42] [43] [44] [45] [46] [47] [48] [49] [50] [51] [52] [53] [54] [55] [56] [57] [58] [59] next »