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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-08-03 01:31:30| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 022331 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Mon Aug 2 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Hilda, located more than 950 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, and on Tropical Storm Ignacio, located more than 400 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. A low pressure system associated with the remnants of Tropical Depression Nine-E is located more than 1500 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. The associated shower activity continues to show signs of organization, but satellite-derived wind data indicate the low-level circulation is still somewhat elongated. Environmental conditions are expected to remain conducive for continued development early this week, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next day or so while the system moves west-northwestward to northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. By late Thursday, the system is forecast to move over cooler waters and further development is not expected. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to develop a few hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico late this week. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development thereafter while the system remains offshore and moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, roughly parallel to the coast of southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Ignacio are issued under WMO header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Ignacio are issued under WMO header WTPZ25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Pasch

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-08-02 19:26:25| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 021726 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Mon Aug 2 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Hilda, located about 1000 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, and on recently upgraded Tropical Storm Ignacio, located more than 400 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. A low pressure system associated with the remnants of Tropical Depression Nine-E is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms more than 1400 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. The shower activity has been increasing and showing some signs of organization over the past several hours, and environmental conditions are expected to be at least marginally conducive for a tropical depression to reform during the next day or so while the low moves west-northwestward to northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to develop a few hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico by the end of the week. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development thereafter while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, just offshore and parallel to the coast of southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Ignacio are issued under WMO header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Ignacio are issued under WMO header WTPZ25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 
 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-08-02 13:09:54| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 021109 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Mon Aug 2 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Hilda, located more than 900 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, and on Tropical Depression Ten-E, located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. A low pressure system associated with the remnants of Tropical Depression Nine-E is producing a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms about 1400 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Other than its proximity to Hurricane Hilda, somewhat favorable environmental conditions could allow this system to redevelop into a tropical depression in a couple of days while the low moves west-northwestward to northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Ten-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Ten-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-08-02 07:17:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 020517 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sun Aug 1 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Hilda, located more than 900 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, and on Tropical Depression Ten-E, located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. An area of low pressure associated with the remnants of Tropical Depression Nine-E is located about 1400 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. The low continues to produce an area of disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms, mainly to the southwest of its center. Other than its proximity to Hurricane Hilda, somewhat favorable environmental conditions could allow this system to redevelop into a tropical depression in a couple of days while the low moves west-northwestward or northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Ten-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Ten-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5. $$ Forecaster Brown

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-08-02 01:29:10| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

327 ABPZ20 KNHC 012329 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sun Aug 1 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Hilda, located about 900 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, and on newly formed Tropical Depression Ten-E, located over 100 miles south-southwest of Socorro Island, Mexico. An area of low pressure associated with the remnants of Tropical Depression Nine-E is located about 1400 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. The low is producing disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms, mainly to the southwest of its center. Other than its proximity to Hurricane Hilda, somewhat favorable environmental conditions could allow this system to redevelop into a tropical depression early this week as the low moves west-northwestward or northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Ten-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Ten-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Pasch

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

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