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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-07-30 07:18:47| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 300518 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Thu Jul 29 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure located about 650 miles southwest of the coast of southwestern Mexico continues to produce showers and thunderstorms. This system is gradually becoming better organized, but the latest satellite wind data shows that the low lacks a well-defined center. Environmental conditions are conducive for further development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form by Saturday while the system moves west- northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. For more information on this system, please see High Seas forecasts issued by the NOAA Tropical Analysis and Forecast Branch. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Showers and thunderstorms have increased in association with an area of low pressure located about 1200 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Upper-level winds are expected to become more conducive for development during the next couple of days, and a tropical depression is expected to form over the weekend while the system moves generally westward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. An area of disturbed weather continues several hundred miles south-southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Additional gradual development is expected during the next several days, and the system could become a tropical depression early next week while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Blake
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pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-07-30 01:35:13| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 292335 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Thu Jul 29 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms are gradually becoming better organized in association with an area of low pressure located about 600 miles southwest of the coast of southwestern Mexico. Environmental conditions are conducive for continued development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form during the next day or two while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. For more information on this system, please see High Seas forecasts issued by the NOAA Tropical Analysis and Forecast Branch. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Another area of low pressure is located about 1100 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. At this time, the associated shower and thunderstorm activity is poorly organized and confined to an area southeast of the center. Upper-level winds are expected to become more conducive for development during the next couple of days, and a tropical depression is likely to form over the weekend while the system moves generally westward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. An area of disturbed weather has formed several hundred miles south-southeast of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Additional gradual development is possible during the next several days while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-07-29 19:31:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 291731 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Thu Jul 29 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms are gradually organizing in association with an area of low pressure located about 500 miles south-southwest of the coast of southwestern Mexico. Environmental conditions are conducive for continued development, and a tropical depression is expected to form during the next day or two while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Another area of low pressure is located about 1100 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Although the circulation appears well defined, showers and thunderstorms are poorly organized and confined to an area southeast of the center. Upper-level winds are expected to become more conducive for development during the next couple of days, and a tropical depression is likely to form over the weekend while the system moves generally westward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi/Reinhart
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-07-29 13:50:03| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
401 ABPZ20 KNHC 291149 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Thu Jul 29 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure located about 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing persistent shower and thunderstorm activity, mainly to the southeast of the center. Upper-level winds are expected to become more conducive for development during the next couple of days, and a tropical depression is likely to form by this weekend while the system moves generally westward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico is producing shower and thunderstorm activity with increased signs of organization since yesterday. Environmental conditions remain conducive for continued development, and a tropical depression is likely to form this weekend while the system moves westward or west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Cangialosi
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-07-29 07:08:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 290508 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Wed Jul 28 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Satellite imagery indicates that shower activity associated with an area of low pressure located about 900 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is gradually becoming better organized. Environmental conditions are expected to gradually become more favorable for development during the next couple of days, and a tropical depression is likely to form by this weekend while the system moves generally westward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Satellite imagery indicates that a broad area of low pressure is located several hundred miles offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico, and that the associated shower activity is showing signs of organization. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for continued gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form this weekend or early next week while the system moves westward or west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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