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Tropical Storm Nora Forecast Advisory Number 17
2021-08-29 22:50:42| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN AUG 29 2021 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 292050 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM NORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142021 2100 UTC SUN AUG 29 2021 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH NORTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO TO HUATABAMPITO. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH OF MAZATLAN TO ESCUINAPA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED...AND THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM CABO SAN LUCAS TO LA PAZ HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MAZATLAN TO TOPOLOBAMPO MEXICO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO TO HUATABAMPITO MEXICO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE COAST OF SONORA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF NORA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 107.5W AT 29/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 10NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 30NE 60SE 60SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 0SE 75SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 107.5W AT 29/2100Z AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.1N 107.3W FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 25.1N 108.2W...NEAR THE COAST MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 50SE 50SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 25.8N 108.8W...NEAR THE COAST MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 40SE 40SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 26.5N 109.3W...NEAR THE COAST MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 27.2N 109.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 28.2N 110.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 28.9N 111.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.3N 107.5W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPEP4...AT 30/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z $$ FORECASTER REINHART
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Tropical Storm Julian Public Advisory Number 4
2021-08-29 22:39:13| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 900 PM GMT Sun Aug 29 2021 000 WTNT31 KNHC 292039 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Julian Advisory Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112021 900 PM GMT Sun Aug 29 2021 ...JULIAN STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL ON MONDAY... SUMMARY OF 900 PM GMT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...36.7N 44.6W ABOUT 815 MI...1315 KM SE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND ABOUT 970 MI...1560 KM W OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 24 MPH...39 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 PM GMT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Julian was located near latitude 36.7 North, longitude 44.6 West. Julian is moving toward the northeast near 24 mph (39 km/h). This general motion is expected to continue for the next day or so, followed by a turn to the north, then northeast Monday night into Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Some slight strengthening is possible through tonight. Julian is expected to become post-tropical by Monday evening. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb (29.39 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 AM GMT. $$ Forecaster Latto
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Tropical Storm Julian Forecast Advisory Number 4
2021-08-29 22:38:42| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN AUG 29 2021 000 WTNT21 KNHC 292038 TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM JULIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112021 2100 UTC SUN AUG 29 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.7N 44.6W AT 29/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 21 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 70NE 90SE 40SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 120SE 90SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.7N 44.6W AT 29/2100Z AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.0N 45.6W FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 38.8N 41.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 70NE 100SE 50SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 42.2N 38.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 70NE 100SE 50SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 46.3N 36.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 80NE 90SE 50SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 51.0N 37.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 55.0N 39.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 70SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.7N 44.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z $$ FORECASTER LATTO
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Tropical Depression Ten Public Advisory Number 7
2021-08-29 22:33:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM AST Sun Aug 29 2021 000 WTNT35 KNHC 292033 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Ten Advisory Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102021 500 PM AST Sun Aug 29 2021 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION HEADING INTO A MORE HOSTILE ENVIRONMENT FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.7N 50.4W ABOUT 770 MI...1235 KM ENE OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Ten was located near latitude 19.7 North, longitude 50.4 West. The depression is moving toward the north near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through tonight. A general northward motion at a slower forward speed, with some wobbles to the east and west, is expected through Wednesday, keeping the depression over the central Atlantic during the upcoming week. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next couple of days. The depression could become a tropical storm by Tuesday or Wednesday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Berg
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Tropical Depression Ten Forecast Advisory Number 7
2021-08-29 22:32:40| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN AUG 29 2021 076 WTNT25 KNHC 292032 TCMAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102021 2100 UTC SUN AUG 29 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 50.4W AT 29/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 50.4W AT 29/2100Z AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 50.2W FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 20.7N 50.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 22.1N 49.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 23.3N 49.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 24.5N 49.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 25.8N 49.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 27.4N 50.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 0SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 30.4N 51.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 33.7N 52.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.7N 50.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
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