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Hurricane Katia Public Advisory Number 10A

2017-09-08 07:45:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 100 AM CDT Fri Sep 08 2017 000 WTNT33 KNHC 080545 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Hurricane Katia Intermediate Advisory Number 10A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132017 100 AM CDT Fri Sep 08 2017 ...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST OF EASTERN MEXICO LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.4N 95.2W ABOUT 165 MI...260 KM NNE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM ESE OF TAMPICO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 250 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Cabo Rojo to Laguna Verde A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * North of Cabo Rojo to Rio Panuco * South of Laguna Verde to Puerto Veracruz. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued 36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical- storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Katia was located near latitude 21.4 North, longitude 95.2 West. Katia is moving toward the west-southwest near 3 mph (6 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue until the system makes landfall by early Saturday. Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next day or so and Katia could be near major hurricane strength at landfall. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 10 miles (20 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km). The estimated minimum central pressure based on Air Force Hurricane Hunter data is 982 mb (29.00 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 5 to 7 feet above normal tide levels near and to the north of where Katia makes landfall. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. RAINFALL: Katia is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 10 to 15 inches over northern Veracruz and eastern Hidalgo, and Puebla. Katia is also expected to produce total rain accumulations of 2 to 5 inches over southern Tamaulipas, eastern San Luis Potosi, western Hidalgo, eastern Queretaro, and southern Veracruz through Saturday evening. Isolated maximum amounts of 25 inches are possible in northern Veracruz and eastern Hidalgo, Puebla, and San Luis Potosi. This rainfall may cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides, especially in areas of mountainous terrain. WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected within portions of the hurricane warning area by tonight or early Saturday, with tropical storm conditions expected within the tropical storm warning areas by later today. SURF: Swells generated by Katia will continue to affect portions of the coast of southeastern Mexico during the next couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Roberts

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Tropical Storm Lidia Public Advisory Number 10A

2017-09-01 07:40:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1200 AM MDT Fri Sep 01 2017 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 010540 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Lidia Intermediate Advisory Number 10A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP142017 1200 AM MDT Fri Sep 01 2017 ...HEAVY RAINS AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS OCCURRING OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR... SUMMARY OF 1200 AM MDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.6N 110.7W ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM SSW OF LA PAZ MEXICO ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM NW OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Baja California Sur from Puerto Cortes to east of La Paz A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Baja California peninsula from Punta Eugenia to Bahia San Juan Bautista * Mainland Mexico from Bahia Tempehuaya to Bahia Kino A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Baja California peninsula north of Punta Eugenia to San Juan De Las Palomas * Baja California peninsula north of Bahia San Juan Bautista to Isla San Luis * Mainland Mexico north of Bahia Kino to Puerto Libertad A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests elsewhere in western Mexico and the Baja California peninsula should monitor the progress of Lidia. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1200 AM MDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Lidia was located near latitude 23.6 North, longitude 110.7 West. Lidia is moving toward the north-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue through today. On the forecast track, the center of Lidia will move near or over the Baja California peninsula through Saturday. Maximum sustained winds remain near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. A gradual weakening is forecast, but Lidia is anticipated to remain a tropical storm during the next day or so. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km) mainly to the northeast and southeast of the center. A sustained wind of 54 mph (87 km/h) and a wind gust to 68 mph (109 km/h) were recently reported at Cabo Pulmo, Baja California Sur. A wind gust to 45 mph (72 km/h) was recently measured at Topolobampo, Sinaloa, on the eastern side of the Gulf of California. The estimated minimum central pressure based on surface observations from southern Baja California Sur is 987 mb (29.15 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Lidia is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 6 to 12 inches across the Mexican states of Baja California Sur into Baja California, Sinaloa and the coastal section of Sonora, with isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches. These rains may cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. Some of the tropical moisture from Lidia may reach parts of the desert Southwest this holiday weekend, including southern California, southern Nevada and southwestern Arizona. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are occurring over the southern portion of Baja California Sur at this time. These conditions should spread northward across the warning area through Friday night. Hurricane conditions are still possible within the hurricane watch area during the next few hours. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area in mainland Mexico through Friday. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch areas Friday night or Saturday. Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains are often up to 30 percent stronger than the near-surface winds indicated in this advisory, and in some elevated locations could be even greater. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding in areas of onshore winds on the southern portion of Baja California Sur. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. SURF: Swells generated by Lidia are affecting portions of the coast of southwestern and western Mexico and southern portions of Baja California Sur, and could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Berg

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Tropical Storm Franklin Public Advisory Number 10A

2017-08-09 07:56:42| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 100 AM CDT Wed Aug 09 2017 000 WTNT32 KNHC 090556 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Franklin Intermediate Advisory Number 10A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072017 100 AM CDT Wed Aug 09 2017 ...FRANKLIN CONTINUING TO STRENGTHEN OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE... SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.4N 92.1W ABOUT 225 MI...360 KM NE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO ABOUT 280 MI...450 KM ENE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * The coast of Mexico from Puerto de Veracruz to Tuxpan A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * The coast of Mexico north of Tuxpan to Rio Panuco A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * The coast of Mexico east of Puerto de Veracruz to Celestun * The coast of Mexico north of Tuxpan to Rio Panuco A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 24 to 36 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Franklin was located near latitude 20.4 North, longitude 92.1 West. Franklin is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A turn toward the west is expected during the next several hours, with Franklin maintaining that motion up until landfall. On the forecast track, the center of Franklin will move westward over the Bay of Campeche overnight and on Wednesday and is forecast to cross the coast of the Mexican state of Veracruz Wednesday night or early Thursday. Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is expected, and Franklin is forecast to become a hurricane late Wednesday and reach the coast of Mexico as a hurricane Wednesday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km) from the center. A Mexican automated weather station at Cayo Arenas, located north of the center, recently reported a wind gust of 45 mph (73 km/h). The latest minimum central pressure estimated from Hurricane Hunter aircraft data is 994 mb (29.35 inches). A Mexican automated weather station at Cayo Arcas, located just southwest of the center, recently reported a pressure of 998.7 mb (29.49 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Franklin is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 4 to 8 inches, and isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches are possible across portions of the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico through tonight. Rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches are possible across the Mexican states of Tabasco, northern Veracruz, northern Puebla, Tlaxcala, Hidalgo, Queretaro, and eastern San Louis Potosi in eastern Mexico. These rains may produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected to reach the coast within the Hurricane Warning area by Wednesday night. Winds are expected to first reach tropical storm strength on Wednesday, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. Tropical storm conditions are expected across portions of the Tropical Storm Warning area along the southern shore of the Bay of Campeche through Wednesday night. Hurricane conditions are possible within the Hurricane Watch area Wednesday night. Tropical storm conditions are expected within the Tropical Storm Warning area in eastern Mexico by Wednesday evening. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 2 to 4 feet above normal tide levels along the immediate coast near and to the north of where the center makes landfall in the Hurricane Warning area. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Beven

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Tropical Storm Cindy Public Advisory Number 10A

2017-06-22 07:53:44| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 100 AM CDT Thu Jun 22 2017 000 WTNT33 KNHC 220553 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Cindy Intermediate Advisory Number 10A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032017 100 AM CDT Thu Jun 22 2017 ...CINDY CONTINUES TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS OVER THE NORTHERN GULF COAST... SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.2N 93.6W ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM SSW OF LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA ABOUT 50 MI...85 KM SSE OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.29 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * San Luis Pass Texas to Grand Isle Louisiana Interests elsewhere along the U.S. Gulf Coast from the central Texas coast to the western Florida Panhandle should monitor the progress of this system. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Cindy was located near latitude 29.2 North, longitude 93.6 West. Cindy is moving toward the north-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A turn toward the north should occur later this morning, with a turn toward the northeast expected on Friday. On the forecast track, the center of Cindy will move inland near the Louisiana-Texas border later this morning, then move across western and northern Louisiana and into southeastern Arkansas tonight and early Friday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is expected today and tonight while Cindy moves over land. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb (29.29 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Cindy is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 6 to 9 inches with isolated maximum amounts up to 15 inches over southeastern Louisiana, southern Mississippi, southern Alabama, and western portions of the Florida Panhandle through tonight. This rainfall could cause life-threatening flash flooding in these areas. Rainfall amounts of 3 to 5 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 7 inches can be expected farther west across western Louisiana and eastern Texas through tonight. Rainfall should spread northeastward across Arkansas and into portions of the Tennessee and Ohio Valleys through Friday, with total rain accumulations of 3 to 5 inches with locally higher amounts possible. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are affecting portions of the Tropical Storm Warning area. STORM SURGE: Inundation of 1 to 3 feet above ground level is expected along the coast in portions of the Tropical Storm Warning area. Inundation of 1 to 3 feet above ground level is also possible elsewhere along the coast from southeastern Louisiana to the western Florida Panhandle in areas of strong onshore winds. TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible tonight from the far western Florida Panhandle across southwestern Alabama, southern Mississippi, and southern Louisiana. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch

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Hurricane MATTHEW Public Advisory Number 10A

2016-09-30 19:33:47| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 200 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016 000 WTNT34 KNHC 301733 TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE MATTHEW INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016 200 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016 ...MATTHEW STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE JUST NORTH OF THE GUAJIRA PENINSULA... SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.6N 71.3W ABOUT 85 MI...140 KM N OF PUNTA GALLINAS COLOMBIA ABOUT 475 MI...765 KM SE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 255 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB...28.35 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Colombia/Venezuela border to Riohacha A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case in the next 12 to 24 hours. Interests elsewhere along the coasts of Venezuela and Colombia should monitor the progress of Matthew. Interests in Jamaica, Hispaniola, and eastern Cuba should also monitor the progress of Matthew. A hurricane watch may be required for Jamaica later today. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Matthew was located near latitude 13.6 North, longitude 71.3 West. Matthew is moving toward the west-southwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A westward motion at a slower forward speed is expected later today and tonight. A turn toward the west-northwest is forecast by Saturday night, followed by a turn toward the northwest by early Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of Matthew will pass north of the Guajira Peninsula this afternoon and tonight and remain over the central Caribbean Sea through early Sunday. Data from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 120 mph (195 km/h) with higher gusts. Matthew is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir- Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles (315 km). The latest minimum central pressure estimated from the aircraft is 960 mb (28.35 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in portions of the warning area in Colombia later later today and tonight. RAINFALL: Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches with isolated higher amounts are expected over Aruba, Bonaire and Curacao through Saturday. Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches with isolated higher amounts are expected along the coast of Colombia from the Venezuelan border to Riohacha. Rainfall totals of 1 to 2 inches with isolated higher amounts are expected along the coast of Venezuela from Coro to the Colombian border. SURF: Swells generated by Matthew are expected to affect portions of the coasts of Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, Aruba, Bonaire, Curacao, Venezuela, and Colombia during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Brennan

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