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Tropical Storm PAINE Public Advisory Number 10A
2016-09-20 13:44:45| Tropical Depression LIDIA
...PAINE WEAKENING AS IT HEADS FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA... Location: 25.4°N 116.8°W Max sustained: 50 mph Moving: N at 13 mph Min pressure: 999 mb Issued at 500 AM PDT TUE SEP 20 2016
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Hurricane NEWTON Public Advisory Number 10A
2016-09-07 07:44:35| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1200 AM MDT WED SEP 07 2016 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 070544 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE NEWTON INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152016 1200 AM MDT WED SEP 07 2016 ...CENTER OF NEWTON OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA... ...EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL OVER MAINLAND MEXICO SOON... SUMMARY OF 1200 AM MDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...28.0N 111.9W ABOUT 60 MI...100 KM W OF GUAYMAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 010 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Guaymas to Puerto Libertad A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Puerto San Andresito to Punta Abreojos * Loreto to Bahia San Juan Bautista * Topolobampo to Guaymas For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1200 AM MDT (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Newton was located near latitude 28.0 North, longitude 111.9 West. Newton is moving toward the north near 17 mph (28 km/h), and a turn toward the north-northeast is expected later today. On the forecast track, the center of Newton will make landfall along the coast of northwestern Mexico in the hurricane warning area this morning. After landfall, the center of Newton will move inland over northwestern Mexico and move into southeastern Arizona by this afternoon. Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected before landfall in northwestern Mexico, with rapid weakening expected afterward. Newton is forecast to weaken to a tropical storm shortly after landfall, and dissipate by early Thursday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: For the Mexican mainland, hurricane conditions are expected within the hurricane warning during the next few hours, and preparations to protect life and property should be complete. Tropical storm conditions will continue spreading northward tonight within the warning area in northwestern Mexico. For the Baja California peninsula, tropical storm conditions will gradually subside during the next few hours. Tropical storm conditions could spread into portions of southeastern Arizona by this afternoon. RAINFALL: Newton is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 8 to 12 inches over the Mexican state of Baja California Sur, and 4 to 8 inches over northern Sinaloa and Sonora states through today. Isolated maximum amounts of 18 inches are possible in Baja California Sur. Moisture associated with Newton is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches with locally higher amounts over southeastern Arizona and southern New Mexico through Thursday. In all of these locations, heavy rain could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides, especially in mountainous terrain. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce significant coastal flooding near and to the east of the track of the center within the hurricane warning area. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. Elsewhere, elevated water levels are expected in areas of onshore wind. SURF: Large swells generated by Newton are expected to affect the coast of southwestern Mexico through this morning, but will begin to subside later today. Large swells are occurring along the coast of Baja California Sur and should spread northward through the Gulf of California today. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch
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Tropical Depression NINE Public Advisory Number 10A
2016-08-31 07:51:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 100 AM CDT WED AUG 31 2016 000 WTNT34 KNHC 310551 TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092016 100 AM CDT WED AUG 31 2016 ...DEPRESSION MEANDERING OVER THE SOUTH-CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.3N 88.1W ABOUT 420 MI...675 KM SSW OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA ABOUT 430 MI...695 KM SW OF TAMPA FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 1 MPH...2 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Anclote River to Indian Pass A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * West of Indian Pass to the Walton/Bay County line A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests along the United States east coast from northern Florida through the Carolinas should monitor the progress of this system. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Nine was located near latitude 24.3 North, longitude 88.1 West. The depression has been drifting westward during the past few hours, but a slow northward motion is expected later today. A faster north-northeast motion is forecast to begin this afternoon or evening. On the forecast track, the center of the tropical cyclone will approach the northwest Florida coast in the watch area on Thursday. Recent satellite wind data indicate that the maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the depression is expected to become a tropical storm later today, and be near hurricane strength by the time landfall occurs on Thursday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Hurricane conditions are possible over portions of the Hurricane Watch area by Thursday afternoon. Tropical storm conditions are possible over portions of the Tropical Storm Watch area by Thursday afternoon. STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. There is a possibility of life-threatening inundation within the next 48 hours along the Gulf coast of Florida from Aripeka to Indian Pass. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the Prototype National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic. Persons located within these areas should be prepared to take all necessary actions to protect life and property from rising water. Promptly follow any instructions from local officials. The water could reach the following heights above ground if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Indian Pass to Aripeka...2 to 4 feet Aripeka to Bonita Beach...including Tampa Bay...1 to 2 feet The Prototype National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic is a depiction of areas that would qualify for inclusion under a storm surge watch or warning currently under development by the National Weather Service and planned for operational use in 2017. This prototype graphic is available at www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?wsurge RAINFALL: The depression is expected to produce additional rain accumulations of 3 to 5 inches over western Cuba through Wednesday, with maximum storm total amounts up to 20 inches. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. Storm total rainfall amounts of 5 to 10 inches are possible over much of the Florida peninsula through Friday, with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches possible. This rainfall may cause flooding and flash flooding. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Brown
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Tropical Depression EIGHT Public Advisory Number 10A
2016-08-31 01:50:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 800 PM EDT TUE AUG 30 2016 000 WTNT33 KNHC 302350 TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082016 800 PM EDT TUE AUG 30 2016 ...DEPRESSION MOVING FARTHER AWAY FROM THE OUTER BANKS... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR NORTH CAROLINA DISCONTINUED... SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...34.4N 74.6W ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM SE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Tropical Storm Warning for the coast of North Carolina has been discontinued. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 800 PM EDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Eight was located near latitude 34.4 North, longitude 74.6 West. The depression is moving toward the northeast near 5 mph (7 km/h). This general motion is expected to continue through Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center of the depression will continue to move away from the Outer Banks of North Carolina this evening and overnight. Maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the depression could become a tropical storm overnight. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1011 mb (29.86 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Gusty winds, especially in showers, are still possible tonight along the coast of North Carolina. RAINFALL: The depression is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 5 inches over far eastern North Carolina, including the Outer Banks. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Berg
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Tropical Storm EARL Public Advisory Number 10A
2016-08-05 01:57:46| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 700 PM CDT THU AUG 04 2016 000 WTNT35 KNHC 042357 TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM EARL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052016 700 PM CDT THU AUG 04 2016 ...EARL CONTINUING TO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS WHILE MOVING OVER SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.0N 91.2W ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM SE OF CIUDAD DEL CARMEN MEXICO ABOUT 210 MI...340 KM E OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests along the southern Bay of Campeche should monitor the progress of Earl. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Earl was located inland over southeastern Mexico near latitude 18.0 North, longitude 91.2 West. Earl is moving toward the west near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue through tonight. A turn toward the west-northwest is forecast on Friday. On the forecast track, the center of Earl will continue to move into southeastern Mexico tonight, and move near the coast along the extreme southern Bay of Campeche on Friday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast, and Earl is expected to become a tropical depression tonight. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center. Ciudad del Carmen recently reported sustained winds of 35 mph (56 km/h) with a gust to 47 mph (76 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions should continue for the next few hours in a small area near and north of the center as it moves through portions of southeastern Mexico. RAINFALL: Earl is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 8 to 12 inches over portions of Belize, Guatemala, and the Mexican states of Campeche, Chiapas, Quintana Roo, Tabasco and Veracruz through Friday morning. Isolated maximum amounts of 18 inches are possible in Belize, northern Guatemala and the central part of the Mexican state of Chiapas. These rains could result in life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch
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