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Summary for Tropical Storm Enrique (EP5/EP052021)
2021-06-25 10:42:55| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
...TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE FORMS OFF OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COST OF MEXICO... As of 4:00 AM CDT Fri Jun 25 the center of Enrique was located near 15.0, -101.7 with movement WNW at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
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Tropical Storm Enrique Public Advisory Number 1
2021-06-25 10:42:55| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 400 AM CDT Fri Jun 25 2021 000 WTPZ35 KNHC 250842 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Enrique Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052021 400 AM CDT Fri Jun 25 2021 ...TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE FORMS OFF OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COST OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.0N 101.7W ABOUT 325 MI...525 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- A tropical storm watch may be required for portions of the southwestern cost of Mexico later today. Interests in this area should monitor the progress of Enrique. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Enrique was located near latitude 15.0 North, longitude 101.7 West. Enrique is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A west-northwestward to northwestward motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected through Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of Enrique will move parallel to, and offshore of, the southwestern coast of Mexico. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days, and Enrique is expected to become a hurricane during the weekend. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) mainly to the southeast of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: The outer bands of Enrique are likely to cause locally heavy rains over portions of southwestern Mexico. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Beven
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Tropical Storm Enrique Forecast Advisory Number 1
2021-06-25 10:42:37| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC FRI JUN 25 2021 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 250842 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052021 0900 UTC FRI JUN 25 2021 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COST OF MEXICO LATER TODAY. INTERESTS IN THIS AREA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ENRIQUE. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 101.7W AT 25/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 101.7W AT 25/0900Z AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 101.2W FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 15.3N 103.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 15.9N 104.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 16.3N 105.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 16.9N 106.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 70SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 17.6N 106.6W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 90SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 18.2N 107.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...140NE 130SE 90SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 19.0N 108.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 20.0N 109.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 101.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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Tropical Storm Claudette Forecast Discussion Number 17
2021-06-21 22:32:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM EDT Mon Jun 21 2021 000 WTNT43 KNHC 212032 TCDAT3 Tropical Storm Claudette Discussion Number 17 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032021 500 PM EDT Mon Jun 21 2021 Claudette's low-level center passed over or near buoy 44014 (east of Virginia Beach) around 1400 UTC, and was associated with a sharp south-to-north wind shift and an estimated pressure of 1004 mb. In addition, buoy 41001, located in the southeastern quadrant of the cyclone's circulation, reported a 1-minute sustained wind of 39 kt at around 1600 UTC. Based on these data, the intensity has been increased to 40 kt, which is supported by a satellite classification of T2.5/35 kt from TAFB. The initial motion estimate is 060/25 kt. Claudette is expected to continue in a general east-northeastward direction through tonight ahead of a deep-layer trough and associated frontal system that is moving across the eastern United States. By early Tuesday, the cyclone is forecast move northeastward at a slightly faster forward speed over the colder waters of the far northwestern Atlantic. The new NHC track forecast is similar to the previous advisory track, and lies down the center of the tightly packed track model guidance suite. Claudette has likely peaked in intensity, and little change in strength is expected due to the cyclone currently moving over sub-23-deg-C sea-surface temperatures with even colder water ahead of the storm. Claudette is forecast to become a post-tropical extratropical low in the 12-24-hour period, but that transition could occur sooner. The latest official intensity forecast is similar to the previous advisory, and closely follows the intensity consensus models HCCA, FSSE, and IVCN. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 21/2100Z 37.5N 72.1W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 22/0600Z 39.5N 67.9W 40 KT 45 MPH 24H 22/1800Z 42.8N 62.2W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 36H 23/0600Z 46.0N 56.9W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 48H 23/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Stewart
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Summary for Tropical Storm Claudette (AT3/AL032021)
2021-06-21 22:32:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...CLAUDETTE MOVING QUICKLY OVER THE NORTHWESTERN ATLANTIC AWAY FROM THE UNITED STATES... As of 5:00 PM EDT Mon Jun 21 the center of Claudette was located near 37.5, -72.1 with movement ENE at 29 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
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