je.st
news
Tag: tropical storm
Tropical Storm Claudette Wind Speed Probabilities Number 15
2021-06-21 10:40:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC MON JUN 21 2021 000 FONT13 KNHC 210840 PWSAT3 TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032021 0900 UTC MON JUN 21 2021 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) NANTUCKET MA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) OCEAN CITY MD 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) WALLOPS CDA 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NORFOLK NAS 34 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) NORFOLK VA 34 9 X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) OCEANA NAS VA 34 18 X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) ELIZABETH CTY 34 15 X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) ROCKY MT NC 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CAPE HATTERAS 34 87 X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) CHERRY PT NC 34 95 X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) NEW RIVER NC 34 89 X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) MOREHEAD CITY 34 90 X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) SURF CITY NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) WILMINGTON NC 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER REINHART/BLAKE
Tropical Storm Claudette Forecast Advisory Number 15
2021-06-21 10:39:19| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC MON JUN 21 2021 000 WTNT23 KNHC 210839 TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032021 0900 UTC MON JUN 21 2021 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET TO CAPE FEAR. THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CAPE FEAR TO DUCK...NORTH CAROLINA * PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.6N 77.6W AT 21/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 65 DEGREES AT 22 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.6N 77.6W AT 21/0900Z AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.1N 79.0W FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 37.0N 74.1W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 130SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 39.5N 68.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 150SE 50SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 42.8N 63.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 150SE 50SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.6N 77.6W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 21/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z $$ FORECASTER REINHART/BLAKE
Tags: number
storm
advisory
tropical
Tropical Storm Dolores Graphics
2021-06-19 22:40:16| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 19 Jun 2021 20:40:16 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 19 Jun 2021 20:40:16 GMT
Tags: graphics
storm
tropical
dolores
Tropical Storm Dolores Forecast Discussion Number 7
2021-06-19 22:38:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 400 PM CDT Sat Jun 19 2021 000 WTPZ44 KNHC 192038 TCDEP4 Tropical Storm Dolores Discussion Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042021 400 PM CDT Sat Jun 19 2021 Dolores's circulation, and the associated weather, continue to move farther inland over west-central Mexico, but it's hard to tell how much of a surface circulation remains over the mountainous topography of the region. Deep convection continues to develop near the estimated center, likely with the help of some orographic lift of onshore flow. Based on a typical decay rate over land, Dolores's intensity is set at 45 kt, but there is higher-than-normal uncertainty in this estimate given the effects of the terrain. The heading remains toward the north-northwest (345 degrees), but the speed has increased to 15 kt, likely due to the mid-level circulation rotating around a mid-level low centered near Socorro Island. If the surface circulation has not yet been mangled by the mountainous terrain, it will soon, and the mid-level circulation should then continue north-northwestward through tonight. The new NHC forecast shows continued rapid weakening and depicts Dolores as a remnant low in 12 hours, but in reality the circulation may have dissipated by that time. This forecast reasoning follows the quick dissipation of vorticity indicated in the global model fields. Even though Dolores is moving farther inland, the coastal watches and warnings are being maintained on this advisory until there is no longer a threat of tropical-storm-force winds in those areas. Key Messages: 1. Tropical storm conditions are still occurring within the tropical storm warning area and will spread farther inland across west-central Mexico through tonight. 2. Heavy rains are forecast over coastal sections of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima, Jalisco, Nayarit, and southern Sinaloa through the weekend, which could result in life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 19/2100Z 20.3N 104.1W 45 KT 50 MPH...INLAND 12H 20/0600Z 22.5N 104.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 24H 20/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: number
discussion
storm
tropical
Tropical Storm Dolores Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7
2021-06-19 22:38:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC SAT JUN 19 2021 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 192038 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM DOLORES WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042021 2100 UTC SAT JUN 19 2021 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLORES WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT BARRA NAVIDAD 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MANZANILLO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER BERG
Sites : [381] [382] [383] [384] [385] [386] [387] [388] [389] [390] [391] [392] [393] [394] [395] [396] [397] [398] [399] [400] next »