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Tropical Depression Ten Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2
2021-08-28 16:35:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SAT AUG 28 2021 000 FONT15 KNHC 281435 PWSAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102021 1500 UTC SAT AUG 28 2021 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS
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Hurricane Nora Wind Speed Probabilities Number 11
2021-08-28 10:59:11| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC SAT AUG 28 2021 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 280859 PWSEP4 HURRICANE NORA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142021 0900 UTC SAT AUG 28 2021 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PUNTA EUGENIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 6(15) P ABREOJOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X 5( 5) 7(12) 14(26) 14(40) 3(43) X(43) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X 5( 5) 9(14) 16(30) 16(46) 3(49) X(49) SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 1(11) 1(12) SAN JOSE CABO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 20(24) 7(31) 1(32) LA PAZ 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 13(20) 6(26) LORETO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) P PENASCO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) HERMOSILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 12(19) BAHIA KINO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 11(16) 12(28) GUAYMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) GUAYMAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 9(17) 6(23) HUATABAMPO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 18(22) 6(28) 2(30) LOS MOCHIS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) LOS MOCHIS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) CULIACAN 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 13(19) 12(31) 1(32) X(32) CULIACAN 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) ISLAS MARIAS 34 16 68(84) 10(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) ISLAS MARIAS 50 1 33(34) 30(64) 1(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) ISLAS MARIAS 64 X 7( 7) 25(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) MAZATLAN 34 3 19(22) 43(65) 8(73) 2(75) X(75) X(75) MAZATLAN 50 X 1( 1) 12(13) 7(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) MAZATLAN 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SAN BLAS 34 5 70(75) 7(82) 1(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) SAN BLAS 50 X 7( 7) 4(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) SAN BLAS 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) P VALLARTA 34 59 37(96) 1(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) P VALLARTA 50 X 30(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) P VALLARTA 64 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 105W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 99 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BARRA NAVIDAD 50 18 13(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) BARRA NAVIDAD 64 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MANZANILLO 34 95 X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) MANZANILLO 50 19 2(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) L CARDENAS 34 9 3(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) ZIHUATANEJO 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 20N 110W 34 3 4( 7) 3(10) 1(11) 3(14) 1(15) X(15) ISLA SOCORRO 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 25N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) $$ FORECASTER PAPIN/BEVEN
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Hurricane Ida Wind Speed Probabilities Number 8
2021-08-28 10:58:42| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SAT AUG 28 2021 000 FONT14 KNHC 280858 PWSAT4 HURRICANE IDA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092021 0900 UTC SAT AUG 28 2021 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS ...80 MPH...130 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT APALACHICOLA 34 2 3( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) GFMX 290N 850W 34 2 4( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) PANAMA CITY FL 34 1 4( 5) 3( 8) 3(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X 3( 3) 4( 7) 5(12) 4(16) X(16) X(16) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 2(10) X(10) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 4(10) X(10) X(10) WHITING FLD FL 34 X 2( 2) 6( 8) 8(16) 4(20) X(20) X(20) PENSACOLA FL 34 X 3( 3) 7(10) 10(20) 4(24) X(24) X(24) GFMX 290N 870W 34 2 30(32) 9(41) 3(44) 1(45) X(45) X(45) GFMX 290N 870W 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MOBILE AL 34 X 3( 3) 15(18) 21(39) 5(44) 1(45) X(45) MOBILE AL 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) MOBILE AL 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) GULFPORT MS 34 X 3( 3) 35(38) 25(63) 5(68) X(68) X(68) GULFPORT MS 50 X X( X) 7( 7) 13(20) 2(22) X(22) X(22) GULFPORT MS 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) STENNIS MS 34 X 3( 3) 46(49) 27(76) 5(81) X(81) X(81) STENNIS MS 50 X X( X) 11(11) 24(35) 2(37) X(37) X(37) STENNIS MS 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) BURAS LA 34 1 12(13) 69(82) 7(89) 1(90) X(90) X(90) BURAS LA 50 X 1( 1) 39(40) 12(52) 1(53) X(53) X(53) BURAS LA 64 X X( X) 17(17) 9(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) GFMX 280N 890W 34 2 90(92) 7(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GFMX 280N 890W 50 X 59(59) 30(89) 1(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) GFMX 280N 890W 64 X 21(21) 38(59) 1(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) JACKSON MS 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 37(44) 15(59) X(59) X(59) JACKSON MS 50 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 10(17) X(17) X(17) JACKSON MS 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X 4( 4) 64(68) 22(90) 3(93) X(93) X(93) NEW ORLEANS LA 50 X X( X) 24(24) 39(63) 4(67) X(67) X(67) NEW ORLEANS LA 64 X X( X) 8( 8) 28(36) 3(39) X(39) X(39) GFMX 280N 910W 34 1 32(33) 56(89) 3(92) 1(93) X(93) X(93) GFMX 280N 910W 50 X 4( 4) 52(56) 6(62) 1(63) X(63) X(63) GFMX 280N 910W 64 X 1( 1) 38(39) 8(47) 2(49) X(49) X(49) BATON ROUGE LA 34 X 2( 2) 43(45) 43(88) 7(95) X(95) X(95) BATON ROUGE LA 50 X X( X) 12(12) 48(60) 10(70) X(70) X(70) BATON ROUGE LA 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 36(38) 6(44) X(44) X(44) MORGAN CITY LA 34 X 3( 3) 66(69) 26(95) 2(97) X(97) X(97) MORGAN CITY LA 50 X X( X) 30(30) 41(71) 6(77) X(77) X(77) MORGAN CITY LA 64 X X( X) 13(13) 38(51) 5(56) X(56) X(56) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X X( X) 10(10) 46(56) 13(69) 1(70) X(70) ALEXANDRIA LA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 23(24) 10(34) X(34) X(34) ALEXANDRIA LA 64 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 5(14) X(14) X(14) LAFAYETTE LA 34 X 2( 2) 33(35) 46(81) 7(88) X(88) X(88) LAFAYETTE LA 50 X X( X) 7( 7) 42(49) 8(57) 1(58) X(58) LAFAYETTE LA 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 27(29) 7(36) X(36) X(36) NEW IBERIA LA 34 X 2( 2) 41(43) 43(86) 4(90) X(90) X(90) NEW IBERIA LA 50 X X( X) 11(11) 42(53) 8(61) X(61) X(61) NEW IBERIA LA 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 30(34) 7(41) X(41) X(41) GFMX 280N 930W 34 X 4( 4) 24(28) 12(40) 3(43) X(43) X(43) GFMX 280N 930W 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) GFMX 280N 930W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SHREVEPORT LA 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 16(18) 8(26) X(26) X(26) SHREVEPORT LA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) FORT POLK LA 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 36(43) 11(54) X(54) X(54) FORT POLK LA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 6(18) X(18) X(18) FORT POLK LA 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) LAKE CHARLES 34 X 1( 1) 11(12) 38(50) 7(57) X(57) X(57) LAKE CHARLES 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 7(22) X(22) X(22) LAKE CHARLES 64 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) CAMERON LA 34 X 2( 2) 22(24) 28(52) 4(56) 1(57) X(57) CAMERON LA 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) 4(19) X(19) X(19) CAMERON LA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) JASPER TX 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 23(27) 8(35) X(35) X(35) JASPER TX 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) JASPER TX 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) KOUNTZE TX 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 19(23) 6(29) X(29) X(29) KOUNTZE TX 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 22(27) 8(35) X(35) X(35) PORT ARTHUR TX 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) PORT ARTHUR TX 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) GALVESTON TX 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 9(15) 5(20) X(20) X(20) GALVESTON TX 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) HOUSTON TX 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 4(12) 1(13) X(13) FREEPORT TX 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 3(10) 1(11) X(11) GFMX 280N 950W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 4(12) X(12) X(12) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 14(18) 6(24) X(24) X(24) HIGH ISLAND TX 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MATAGORDA TX 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) PORT O CONNOR 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GFMX 270N 960W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
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Tropical Depression Ten Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1
2021-08-28 10:54:40| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC SAT AUG 28 2021 000 FONT15 KNHC 280854 PWSAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102021 0900 UTC SAT AUG 28 2021 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER STEWART
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Tropical Storm Nora Wind Speed Probabilities Number 10
2021-08-28 04:40:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT AUG 28 2021 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 280240 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM NORA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142021 0300 UTC SAT AUG 28 2021 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PUNTA EUGENIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 9(20) P ABREOJOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) P ABREOJOS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X 2( 2) 8(10) 22(32) 25(57) 3(60) X(60) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 3(17) X(17) CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X 2( 2) 8(10) 25(35) 30(65) 2(67) 1(68) SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 17(20) 2(22) X(22) SAN JOSE CABO 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 29(33) 11(44) 1(45) LA PAZ 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) X(10) LA PAZ 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 21(29) 6(35) LORETO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) LORETO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) P PENASCO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) HERMOSILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 14(18) HERMOSILLO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 17(27) BAHIA KINO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) BAHIA KINO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 15(22) 14(36) GUAYMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) GUAYMAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 13(23) 4(27) HUATABAMPO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) HUATABAMPO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 23(26) 11(37) 1(38) LOS MOCHIS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) X( 9) LOS MOCHIS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) CULIACAN 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) 21(34) 2(36) X(36) CULIACAN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) ISLAS MARIAS 34 3 33(36) 54(90) 2(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) ISLAS MARIAS 50 X 1( 1) 45(46) 5(51) 1(52) X(52) X(52) ISLAS MARIAS 64 X X( X) 16(16) 2(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) MAZATLAN 34 X 6( 6) 37(43) 21(64) 5(69) X(69) X(69) MAZATLAN 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) 2(15) X(15) X(15) MAZATLAN 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAN BLAS 34 X 24(24) 36(60) 1(61) 1(62) X(62) X(62) SAN BLAS 50 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) P VALLARTA 34 3 71(74) 10(84) X(84) 1(85) X(85) X(85) P VALLARTA 50 X 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 15N 105W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 79 17(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) BARRA NAVIDAD 50 X 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MANZANILLO 34 74 9(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) MANZANILLO 50 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) L CARDENAS 34 14 2(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) ZIHUATANEJO 34 6 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 20N 110W 34 1 4( 5) 6(11) 4(15) 4(19) 1(20) X(20) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 25N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
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