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Tropical Storm Nora Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5
2021-08-26 22:37:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC THU AUG 26 2021 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 262037 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM NORA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142021 2100 UTC THU AUG 26 2021 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT PUNTA EUGENIA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) P ABREOJOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) 35(56) 7(63) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 19(21) 5(26) CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 1( 9) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) 37(58) 7(65) SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 19(21) 4(25) SAN JOSE CABO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 2(11) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 24(26) 12(38) LA PAZ 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 6(13) LA PAZ 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 14(22) LORETO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) LORETO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) HERMOSILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 10(14) HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 8(13) LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 7(18) LOS MOCHIS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) CULIACAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 2(13) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 54(63) 4(67) X(67) ISLAS MARIAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 26(26) 2(28) X(28) ISLAS MARIAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 2(10) X(10) MAZATLAN 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 24(26) 9(35) 1(36) MAZATLAN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) MAZATLAN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 17(20) 1(21) X(21) P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 26(36) X(36) 1(37) P VALLARTA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 15N 105W 34 3 48(51) 9(60) 1(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) 15N 105W 50 X 4( 4) 6(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 36(39) 10(49) X(49) X(49) BARRA NAVIDAD 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) X( 9) BARRA NAVIDAD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MANZANILLO 34 X 3( 3) 18(21) 36(57) 5(62) 1(63) X(63) MANZANILLO 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13) MANZANILLO 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) L CARDENAS 34 1 7( 8) 9(17) 3(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) ZIHUATANEJO 34 1 6( 7) 4(11) 2(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) 15N 100W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ACAPULCO 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 20N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 18(20) 7(27) 1(28) 20N 110W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) 20N 110W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 4(11) 1(12) 20N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 25N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 25N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 25N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) $$ FORECASTER BERG
Tropical Storm Nora Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4
2021-08-26 16:47:01| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1500 UTC THU AUG 26 2021 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 261446 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM NORA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142021 1500 UTC THU AUG 26 2021 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 100.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 24(27) 20(47) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 12(19) CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 25(28) 22(50) SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 11(18) SAN JOSE CABO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 16(22) LA PAZ 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) LA PAZ 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) CULIACAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 6(10) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 29(31) 22(53) 2(55) ISLAS MARIAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 12(20) 1(21) ISLAS MARIAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) MAZATLAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 15(23) 4(27) MAZATLAN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 6(16) 1(17) SAN BLAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) 5(27) X(27) P VALLARTA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) P VALLARTA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 15N 105W 34 X 7( 7) 22(29) 3(32) 2(34) X(34) X(34) 15N 105W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 31(36) 2(38) X(38) BARRA NAVIDAD 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) X( 8) X( 8) BARRA NAVIDAD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 20(23) 28(51) 1(52) X(52) MANZANILLO 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) X(15) X(15) MANZANILLO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) L CARDENAS 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 8(15) 4(19) X(19) X(19) ZIHUATANEJO 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 4(10) 2(12) 1(13) X(13) 15N 100W 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ACAPULCO 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 20N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 15(21) 5(26) 20N 110W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) 20N 110W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 2(12) 20N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 25N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) $$ FORECASTER BERG
Tropical Depression Nine Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1
2021-08-26 16:46:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC THU AUG 26 2021 000 FONT14 KNHC 261445 PWSAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092021 1500 UTC THU AUG 26 2021 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT FT LAUDERDALE 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MARATHON FL 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) KEY WEST FL 34 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 5(14) 2(16) X(16) X(16) NAPLES FL 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) FT MYERS FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) VENICE FL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 4(13) X(13) X(13) TAMPA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) CEDAR KEY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) APALACHICOLA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 2(17) X(17) GFMX 290N 850W 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 15(20) 2(22) X(22) PANAMA CITY FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 3(19) 1(20) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 6(13) 2(15) COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) BIRMINGHAM AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) MONTGOMERY AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 8(16) 2(18) PENSACOLA FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 9(19) 2(21) PENSACOLA FL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 38(42) 3(45) 1(46) GFMX 290N 870W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 2(11) X(11) GFMX 290N 870W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 14(27) 3(30) MOBILE AL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) MOBILE AL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 20(38) 4(42) GULFPORT MS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) 2(13) GULFPORT MS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) STENNIS MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) 23(44) 4(48) STENNIS MS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 10(15) 2(17) STENNIS MS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) BURAS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 37(37) 18(55) 3(58) BURAS LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 12(22) 1(23) BURAS LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) X(10) GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 71(75) 7(82) X(82) GFMX 280N 890W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 44(44) 7(51) 1(52) GFMX 280N 890W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) 6(29) X(29) JACKSON MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 22(27) 9(36) JACKSON MS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) JACKSON MS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 27(27) 28(55) 6(61) NEW ORLEANS LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 18(24) 3(27) NEW ORLEANS LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 2(11) GFMX 280N 910W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 60(61) 18(79) 1(80) GFMX 280N 910W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 30(30) 22(52) 1(53) GFMX 280N 910W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 15(31) 1(32) BATON ROUGE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 38(55) 8(63) BATON ROUGE LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 21(25) 5(30) BATON ROUGE LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 2(11) MORGAN CITY LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 27(27) 35(62) 6(68) MORGAN CITY LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 24(31) 3(34) MORGAN CITY LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 2(14) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 35(42) 12(54) ALEXANDRIA LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 5(20) ALEXANDRIA LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) LAFAYETTE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 41(57) 9(66) LAFAYETTE LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 23(26) 6(32) LAFAYETTE LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 3(14) NEW IBERIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 42(59) 8(67) NEW IBERIA LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 24(28) 5(33) NEW IBERIA LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 2(14) GFMX 280N 930W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 26(26) 27(53) 3(56) GFMX 280N 930W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 19(26) 2(28) GFMX 280N 930W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) 1(16) SHREVEPORT LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 22(23) 10(33) SHREVEPORT LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) FORT POLK LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 34(40) 10(50) FORT POLK LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) 6(22) FORT POLK LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) LAKE CHARLES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 37(46) 9(55) LAKE CHARLES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) 6(28) LAKE CHARLES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 3(12) CAMERON LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 37(54) 5(59) CAMERON LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 24(27) 4(31) CAMERON LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 2(15) JASPER TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 29(33) 9(42) JASPER TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 4(17) JASPER TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) KOUNTZE TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 28(32) 7(39) KOUNTZE TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 4(16) KOUNTZE TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 31(37) 6(43) PORT ARTHUR TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 4(19) PORT ARTHUR TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) GALVESTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 24(31) 4(35) GALVESTON TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 2(14) GALVESTON TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) HOUSTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 16(18) 5(23) HOUSTON TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) HOUSTON TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) AUSTIN TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) SAN ANTONIO TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) FREEPORT TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 15(17) 4(21) FREEPORT TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) FREEPORT TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) GFMX 280N 950W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 17(23) 2(25) GFMX 280N 950W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) GFMX 280N 950W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 27(31) 5(36) HIGH ISLAND TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 3(16) HIGH ISLAND TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) MATAGORDA TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 13(16) 3(19) MATAGORDA TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) MATAGORDA TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) PORT O CONNOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 3(15) PORT O CONNOR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) PORT O CONNOR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) ROCKPORT TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) CORPUS CHRISTI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) GFMX 270N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 2(11) GFMX 270N 960W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) GFMX 270N 960W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) GFMX 250N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) COZUMEL MX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X 1( 1) 15(16) 11(27) 2(29) X(29) X(29) CP SAN ANTONIO 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CP SAN ANTONIO 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) HAVANA 34 X 3( 3) 32(35) 4(39) 1(40) X(40) X(40) HAVANA 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ISLE OF PINES 34 X 16(16) 47(63) 1(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) ISLE OF PINES 50 X 1( 1) 14(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) ISLE OF PINES 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) CIENFUEGOS 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GRAND CAYMAN 34 1 45(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) GRAND CAYMAN 50 X 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GRAND CAYMAN 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) $$ FORECASTER BROWN
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tropical
Tropical Depression Fourteen-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2
2021-08-26 04:42:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0300 UTC THU AUG 26 2021 410 FOPZ14 KNHC 260242 PWSEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142021 0300 UTC THU AUG 26 2021 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 100.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 20(39) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 20(37) SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) SAN JOSE CABO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) CULIACAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 23(34) 2(36) ISLAS MARIAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) ISLAS MARIAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) MAZATLAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 3(15) SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8) P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 6(12) 1(13) 15N 105W 34 X 1( 1) 17(18) 38(56) 5(61) X(61) X(61) 15N 105W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) 3(23) X(23) X(23) 15N 105W 64 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 3(16) X(16) MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 22(26) 3(29) 1(30) MANZANILLO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) L CARDENAS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 5( 9) 1(10) X(10) ZIHUATANEJO 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 15N 100W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ACAPULCO 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 20N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 23(28) 6(34) 20N 110W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 3(11) 20N 110W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) 4(17) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 20N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 25N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) $$ FORECASTER REINHART/PASCH
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tropical
Tropical Depression Fourteen-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1
2021-08-25 22:50:16| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC WED AUG 25 2021 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 252050 PWSEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142021 2100 UTC WED AUG 25 2021 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 99.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 26(26) 18(44) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 10(15) CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 23(23) 16(39) SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 7(12) SAN JOSE CABO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 10(14) LA PAZ 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) CULIACAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 21(27) 2(29) ISLAS MARIAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) ISLAS MARIAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) MAZATLAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 2(11) SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) 10N 105W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 105W 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 44(52) 15(67) X(67) X(67) 15N 105W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 11(28) X(28) X(28) 15N 105W 64 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) X( 9) X( 9) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 4(19) X(19) L CARDENAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) ZIHUATANEJO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) 15N 100W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 15N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) 20N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 41(46) 6(52) 20N 110W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 4(21) 20N 110W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 18(22) 4(26) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 20N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 25N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) $$ FORECASTER BERG
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speed
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tropical
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