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Tropical Storm Julian Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4

2021-08-29 22:39:13| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC SUN AUG 29 2021 000 FONT11 KNHC 292039 PWSAT1 TROPICAL STORM JULIAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112021 2100 UTC SUN AUG 29 2021 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JULIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 44.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER LATTO

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Tropical Depression Ten Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7

2021-08-29 22:33:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 2100 UTC SUN AUG 29 2021 288 FONT15 KNHC 292033 PWSAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102021 2100 UTC SUN AUG 29 2021 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BERG

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Tropical Storm Julian Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3

2021-08-29 16:53:37| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC SUN AUG 29 2021 000 FONT11 KNHC 291453 PWSAT1 TROPICAL STORM JULIAN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112021 1500 UTC SUN AUG 29 2021 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JULIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 46.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BERG

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Hurricane Ida Wind Speed Probabilities Number 14

2021-08-29 16:53:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1500 UTC SUN AUG 29 2021 000 FONT14 KNHC 291452 PWSAT4 HURRICANE IDA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092021 1500 UTC SUN AUG 29 2021 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IDA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 130 KTS...150 MPH...240 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) BRIDGEPORT CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) ISLIP NY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) CAPE HENLOPEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) WALLOPS CDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) PANAMA CITY FL 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) DESTIN EXEC AP 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BIRMINGHAM AL 34 1 3( 4) X( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MONTGOMERY AL 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) WHITING FLD FL 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) PENSACOLA FL 34 3 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GFMX 290N 870W 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MOBILE AL 34 16 5(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) GULFPORT MS 34 92 1(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) GULFPORT MS 50 7 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) GULFPORT MS 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) STENNIS MS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) STENNIS MS 50 43 2(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) STENNIS MS 64 8 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) BURAS LA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BURAS LA 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BURAS LA 64 84 X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) GFMX 280N 890W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) GFMX 280N 890W 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) JACKSON MS 34 12 51(63) 8(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) JACKSON MS 50 1 9(10) 6(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) JACKSON MS 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) NEW ORLEANS LA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) NEW ORLEANS LA 50 97 1(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) NEW ORLEANS LA 64 85 2(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) GFMX 280N 910W 34 18 2(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) BATON ROUGE LA 34 99 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) BATON ROUGE LA 50 79 11(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) BATON ROUGE LA 64 38 22(60) 1(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) MORGAN CITY LA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MORGAN CITY LA 50 82 1(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) MORGAN CITY LA 64 35 1(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) ALEXANDRIA LA 34 19 26(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) ALEXANDRIA LA 50 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) LAFAYETTE LA 34 83 3(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) LAFAYETTE LA 50 15 3(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) LAFAYETTE LA 64 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) NEW IBERIA LA 34 88 2(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) NEW IBERIA LA 50 22 2(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) NEW IBERIA LA 64 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GFMX 280N 930W 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SHREVEPORT LA 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) FORT POLK LA 34 4 6(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) LAKE CHARLES 34 6 3( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) CAMERON LA 34 5 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) JASPER TX 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) KOUNTZE TX 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PORT ARTHUR TX 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GALVESTON TX 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HOUSTON TX 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HIGH ISLAND TX 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER BROWN

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Hurricane Nora Wind Speed Probabilities Number 16

2021-08-29 16:45:35| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1500 UTC SUN AUG 29 2021 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 291445 PWSEP4 HURRICANE NORA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142021 1500 UTC SUN AUG 29 2021 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 3 2( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) SAN JOSE CABO 34 3 2( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) LA PAZ 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) LORETO 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) HERMOSILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) GUAYMAS 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 7(10) 2(12) X(12) HUATABAMPO 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) 8(13) 1(14) X(14) LOS MOCHIS 34 3 2( 5) 8(13) 6(19) 4(23) X(23) X(23) LOS MOCHIS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) CULIACAN 34 41 12(53) 3(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) CULIACAN 50 4 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ISLAS MARIAS 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) MAZATLAN 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MAZATLAN 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MAZATLAN 64 27 X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) SAN BLAS 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER REINHART

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