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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-10-15 19:36:06| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 151735 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Mon Oct 15 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located just offshore of northeastern Honduras contine to show some signs of organization. The system is expected to move near or just offshore of north coast of Honduras, and it is possible that it could become a tropical depression before the low moves inland over Belize late Tuesday. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall, which could cause flash flooding, is possible across portions of Central America for much of the week. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system on Tuesday afternoon. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-10-15 13:34:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 151134 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Mon Oct 15 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located over the southwestern Caribbean Sea are showing some signs of organization. The system is moving west-northwestward, and it is possible that it could become a tropical depression before it moves inland over Central America by Tuesday. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall, which could cause flash flooding, is possible across portions of Central America for much of the week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-10-15 07:26:15| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 150526 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Mon Oct 15 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased overnight in association with a broad area of low pressure located over the southwestern Caribbean Sea. This system is moving slowly west-northwestward, and some additional development is possible before it moves inland over Central America by tonight or Tuesday. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall, which could cause flash flooding, is possible across portions of Central America for much of the week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-10-15 01:31:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 142331 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sun Oct 14 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Showers and thunderstorms have decreased and become less organized in association with a low-latitude tropical wave located several hundred miles east of French Guiana. This wave is expected to move westward at about 15 mph during the next few days, and development is not anticipated due to unfavorable environmental conditions. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. A broad area of low pressure located over the southwestern Caribbean Sea is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This system is moving slowly west-northwestward, and some gradual development is possible before it moves inland over Central America Monday night or Tuesday. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall, which could cause flash flooding, is possible across portions of Central America for much of the week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-10-14 19:34:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 141734 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sun Oct 14 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A broad, low-latitude tropical wave located more than 800 miles east of French Guiana is producing a large area of cloudiness and disorganized shower activity. Any development of this system should be slow to occur during the next couple of days before upper-level winds become unfavorable around mid-week, prior to the disturbance reaching the northeastern coast of South America. This wave is expected to move westward at about 15 mph during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. An area of disturbed weather has developed over the southwestern Caribbean Sea in association with a large low pressure system located more than 200 miles east-southeast of the Nicaragua-Honduras border. Upper-air data indicate that the system has become better defined over the past couple of days. However, the surface circulation remains broad and upper-level winds are expected to be only marginally favorable for any development to occur while the system moves westward to west-northwestward over the next couple of days, reaching Nicaragua and Honduras by late Monday or early Tuesday. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall will be possible across portions of Central America Tuesday through Thursday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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