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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-08-12 13:28:36| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 121128 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sat Aug 12 2017 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A low pressure area located about 150 miles northeast of the Turks and Caicos Islands has become a little better defined this morning and the shower activity has increased somewhat since yesterday. Conditions are gradually becoming more conducive for development, and a tropical depression could form during the next day or two. The low is forecast to move northwestward and then northward through the weekend, and then turn to the northeast away from the United States early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-08-12 07:52:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 120551 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sat Aug 12 2017 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located about 250 miles east-northeast of the Turks and Caicos Islands have changed little in organization since this morning. Environmental conditions are expected to become a little more conducive for development during the next day or two, and this system could become a tropical depression over the weekend. The low is forecast to move generally northwestward through the weekend and is likely to turn northeastward away from the United States early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 
 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-08-12 01:21:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 112321 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Fri Aug 11 2017 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located about 300 miles east of the Turks and Caicos Islands have changed little in organization since this morning. Dry air aloft and unfavorable upper-level winds have limited significant development during the past few days. Environmental conditions, however, are expected to become a little more conducive for development during the next day or two, and this system could become a tropical depression over the weekend. The low is forecast to move generally northwestward through the weekend and is likely to turn northeastward away from the United States early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-08-11 19:22:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 111722 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Fri Aug 11 2017 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: An area of disturbed weather centered a couple of hundred miles north of Puerto Rico continues to move toward the west-northwest or northwest at 10 to 15 mph. There are no indications of a closed circulation at this time, but upper-level winds are forecast to become a little more favorable for development by the weekend. Dry air aloft could limit additional development of the thunderstorm activity, making the overall environment only marginally conducive for tropical cyclone formation. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. A weak and elongated area of low pressure just off the east coast of Florida is accompanied by a few showers and thunderstorms extending from southern Florida northeastward across the southwestern Atlantic. This system has become less organized and development is not anticipated. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2017-08-11 13:40:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 111139 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Fri Aug 11 2017 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: An area of disturbed weather centered a couple of hundred miles north of the northern Leeward Islands has become a little better organized since yesterday, but there are no indications of a closed circulation. Upper-level winds are forecast to become more favorable for development by the weekend, but dry air aloft could limit additional development of the thunderstorm activity. This makes the overall environment only marginally conducive for tropical cyclone formation. The disturbance is expected to move northwestward today, then northward over the weekend across the western Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. A weak and elongated area of low pressure just off the east coast of Florida is accompanied by disorganized showers and thunderstorms extending from southern Florida northeastward across the southwestern Atlantic. Upper-level winds are not favorable for development but this system could still produce locally heavy rains to portions of the Florida peninsula as it moves northward during the next day or two. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

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