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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2016-10-20 19:55:36| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 201755 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT THU OCT 20 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A broad area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles northeast of the Central Bahamas is moving slowly and erratically, but is expected to begin moving northward by tonight. Although visible satellite imagery and surface observations suggest that the low-level circulation has become a little better defined since yesterday, preliminary reports from a NOAA reconnaissance aircraft indicate that the system does not have a well-defined center. In addition, the associated shower and thunderstorm activity is limited and not well organized. This system could still become a subtropical or tropical cyclone before it merges with a cold front over the western Atlantic, well offshore of the United States east coast Friday night. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall along with life-threatening flash floods and mud slides are likely over portions of Hispaniola for the next day or so. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent $$ Forecaster Pasch
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