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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2016-08-27 13:38:50| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 271138 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Gaston, located about 800 miles east-southeast of Bermuda. A weak area of low pressure located south of Andros Island in the Bahamas continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms mainly to the south and east of its center. Upper-level winds are not conducive for significant development during the next day or so while the low moves west-northwestward through the Straits of Florida at about 10 mph. Environmental conditions could become a little more conducive for some development when the system moves across the eastern Gulf of Mexico next week. Heavy rains are likely to continue over portions of eastern and central Cuba today. Gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall are likely over portions of the Bahamas, and will spread into parts of southern Florida and the Florida Keys later this weekend. Interests elsewhere in Florida and the eastern Gulf of Mexico should continue to monitor the progress of this disturbance. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent A weak trough of low pressure located about a hundred miles south of the coast of southwestern Louisiana is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity over the north-central Gulf of Mexico. Conditions are not expected to be conducive for development before this system reaches the coast of Texas on Sunday. However, heavy rainfall is possible along the Gulf Coast from Louisiana to southeastern Texas during the next few days. For additional information, please see products from your local National Weather Service office. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent An area of low pressure centered about 130 miles southwest of Bermuda is producing winds of around 35 mph. While shower and thunderstorm activity has increased a little near the center during the past few hours, any significant development of this system is likely to be slow to occur due the proximity of dry air. This low is expected to move westward and then west-northwestward at about 10 mph toward the coast of the Carolinas during the next few days. For additional information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Brennan
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2016-08-27 07:53:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 270553 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Gaston, located about 900 miles east-southeast of Bermuda. A weak area of low pressure located near the central Bahamas continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms mainly to the south and east of its center. Upper-level winds are not conducive for significant development during the next day or so while the low moves west-northwestward through the Straits of Florida at about 10 mph. Environmental conditions could become a little more conducive for some development when the system moves across the eastern Gulf of Mexico next week. Heavy rains, with the potential to cause flash floods and mud slides, are likely to continue over Hispaniola today. This activity is expected to spread over eastern and central Cuba over the weekend. Gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall are likely over portions of the Bahamas, and will spread into parts of southern Florida and the Florida Keys late this weekend. Interests elsewhere in Florida and the eastern Gulf of Mexico should continue to monitor the progress of this disturbance. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent A weak trough of low pressure located about a hundred miles south of the coast of southwestern Louisiana is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity over the north-central Gulf of Mexico. Conditions are not expected to be conducive for development of this system before it reaches the coast of Texas later this weekend. However, heavy rainfall is possible along the Gulf Coast from Louisiana to southeastern Texas during the next few days. For additional information, please see products from your local National Weather Service office. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent A broad area of low pressure is centered a little over a hundred miles south-southwest of Bermuda. The associated shower activity is currently disorganized. However, data from the NASA/NOAA Global Hawk aircraft indicate that the low is producing winds near 35 mph east of the center. This low is forecast to move westward and then west-northwestward at about 10 mph toward the coast of the Carolinas during the next few days, but any development is likely to be slow to occur due to the system's proximity to dry air. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2016-08-27 01:37:47| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 262337 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Gaston, located about 1000 miles east-southeast of Bermuda. Shower activity associated with a weak area of low pressure located in the central Bahamas has increased during the past several hours but it remains disorganized. Upper-level winds are not favorable for significant development during the next day or so while the system moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph. Environmental conditions could become a little more conducive for some development when the system reaches the eastern Gulf of Mexico early next week. Heavy rains, with the potential to cause flash floods and mud slides, are likely to continue over Hispaniola tonight and Saturday. This activity is expected to spread over eastern and central Cuba through the weekend. Gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall are likely over portions of the Bahamas, and will spread into parts of southern Florida and the Florida Keys over the weekend. Interests elsewhere in Florida and the eastern Gulf of Mexico should continue to monitor the progress of this disturbance. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent Disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity located over the north-central Gulf of Mexico is associated with a weak trough of low pressure. Conditions are not expected to be favorable for development before it reaches the coast of Texas over the weekend. This disturbance could produce heavy rainfall along the Gulf Coast from Louisiana to southeastern Texas during the next couple of days. For additional information, please see products from your local National Weather Service office. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent An area of disturbed weather, associated with a broad area of low pressure, has formed a couple of hundred miles south of Bermuda. Little motion is anticipated during the next two days, and a slow westward heading should begin thereafter. Development of this system, if any, is likely to be slow to occur due to this system's proximity to dry air. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent $$ Forecaster Avila
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2016-08-26 19:46:16| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 261746 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Gaston, located about 1100 miles east-southeast of Bermuda. A weak area of low pressure is located between the northeastern coast of Cuba and the central Bahamas. The associated shower and thunderstorm activity has increased during the past few hours, but remains disorganized and is located mainly to the east and southeast of the low. Upper-level winds are expected to remain unfavorable for significant development during the next day or so while the system moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph. However, environmental conditions could become a little more conducive for development early next week when the system approaches the eastern Gulf of Mexico. Regardless of development, heavy rains, with the potential to cause flash floods and mud slides, are likely over Hispaniola today and over eastern and central Cuba through the weekend. Gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall are likely over portions of the Bahamas, and will likely spread into parts of southern Florida and the Florida Keys over the weekend. Interests elsewhere in Florida and the eastern Gulf of Mexico should continue to monitor the progress of this disturbance. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent Disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity located over the north-central Gulf of Mexico is associated with a weak area of disturbed weather. Surface pressures in this area are high, and significant development of this system is not expected before it reaches the coast of Texas over the weekend. However, regardless of tropical cyclone development, this disturbance could produce rainfall along the Gulf Coast from Louisiana to southeastern Texas during the next couple of days. For additional information, please see products from your local National Weather Service office. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent $$ Forecaster Brennan
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2016-08-26 13:35:48| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 261135 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT FRI AUG 26 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Gaston, located about 1200 miles east-southeast of Bermuda. A weak area of low pressure extending from eastern Cuba northward to the central Bahamas is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Upper-level winds are expected to remain unfavorable for significant development during the next couple of days while the system moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph. Environmental conditions could become a little more conducive for development early next week when the system moves into the eastern Gulf of Mexico. The Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft scheduled to investigate this system this morning has been canceled. Regardless of development, heavy rains, with the potential to cause flash floods and mud slides, are likely over Hispaniola today and over eastern and central Cuba through the weekend. Gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall are likely over portions of the Bahamas, and will likely spread into parts of South Florida and the Florida Keys over the weekend. Interests elsewhere in Florida and the eastern Gulf of Mexico should continue to monitor the progress of this disturbance. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent A weak area of disturbed weather is located over the north-central Gulf of Mexico. Surface pressures in this area are currently high, and little to no development of this system is expected before it reaches the coast of Texas over the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent $$ Forecaster Brennan/Brown
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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