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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2016-08-28 16:13:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 281413 TWOAT SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1015 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Special Outlook issued to update discussion of area of low pressure west of Bermuda. The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Gaston, located about 600 miles east of Bermuda. A weak area of low pressure located near the north coast of central Cuba continues to produce a large area of disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms. Upper-level winds are not conducive for significant development today while this system moves westward through the Straits of Florida. The low is expected to move into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico on Monday, where environmental conditions could become somewhat more conducive for development. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall and gusty winds are likely over portions of the central and northwestern Bahamas, and Cuba through tonight. Gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall will spread into parts of southern Florida and the Florida Keys later today. Interests elsewhere in Florida and the eastern Gulf of Mexico should continue to monitor the progress of this disturbance. A NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system this afternoon, if necessary. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent Updated: Satellite images indicate that the area of low pressure west-southwest of Bermuda has become a tropical depression, and advisories on Tropical Depression Eight will be initiated at 11 AM EDT. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...100 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...100 percent A tropical wave is expected to move offshore of the west coast of Africa on Tuesday. Conditions are expected to be favorable for development of this system later this week while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph over the tropical eastern Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Pasch
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2016-08-28 13:43:13| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 281142 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Gaston, located about 600 miles east of Bermuda. A weak area of low pressure located near the north coast of central Cuba continues to produce a large area of disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms. Upper-level winds are not conducive for significant development today while this system moves westward through the Straits of Florida. The low is expected to move into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico on Monday, where environmental conditions could become somewhat more conducive for development. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall and gusty winds are likely over portions of the central and northwestern Bahamas, and Cuba through tonight. Gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall will spread into parts of southern Florida and the Florida Keys later today. Interests elsewhere in Florida and the eastern Gulf of Mexico should continue to monitor the progress of this disturbance. A NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system this afternoon, if necessary. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased during the past few hours in association with an area of low pressure located about 250 miles west of Bermuda. While environmental conditions are only marginally conducive, some additional development of this system is possible during the next day or so while it moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph. As the low approaches the coast of North Carolina by mid-week, conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further development. For additional information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system this afternoon, if necessary. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent A tropical wave is expected to move offshore of the west coast of Africa on Tuesday. Conditions are expected to be favorable for development of this system later this week while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph over the tropical eastern Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Brennan
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2016-08-28 07:43:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 280542 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Gaston, located about several hundred miles east-southeast of Bermuda. A weak area of low pressure located near the north coast of central Cuba is producing a large but disorganized area of cloudiness and thunderstorms. Upper-level winds are not conducive for significant development today while this system moves westward through the Straits of Florida. The low is expected to move into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico on Monday, where environmental conditions are forecast to a little more conducive for development. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall and gusty winds are likely over portions of the central and northwestern Bahamas, and Cuba through tonight. Gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall will spread into parts of southern Florida and the Florida Keys later today. Interests elsewhere in Florida and the eastern Gulf of Mexico should continue to monitor the progress of this disturbance. A NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system this afternoon, if necessary. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent Shower activity associated with an area of low pressure located about 200 miles west-southwest of Bermuda remains poorly organized. Any development of this system should be slow to occur due to the proximity of dry air during the next couple of days. This low is forecast to move westward and then west-northwestward at about 10 mph toward the coast of North Carolina where conditions are not favorable for development. For additional information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent A tropical wave is expected to move offshore of the west coast of Africa on Tuesday. Conditions are expected to be favorable for development of this system later this week while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph over the tropical eastern Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2016-08-28 01:40:26| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 272340 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT SAT AUG 27 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Gaston, located about several hundred miles east-southeast of Bermuda. An area of low pressure centered near the north coast of Central Cuba is a little better defined this afternoon, and is producing a large but disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms. Any development of this system is expected to be slow to occur while it interacts with the terrain of Cuba through Sunday. Environmental conditions are forecast to become a little more conducive when the low moves into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico on Monday. Reports from the Cuban Meteorological Service indicate that 3 to 5 inches of rain have fallen in portions of the island this afternoon. These rains are likely to continue primarily over portions of eastern and central Cuba tonight and Sunday. Gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall are probably occurring over portions of the Bahamas, and this activity will spread into parts of southern Florida and the Florida Keys by Sunday. Interests elsewhere in Florida and the eastern Gulf of Mexico should continue to monitor the progress of this disturbance. A NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system on Sunday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent The broad area of low pressure located about 150 miles southwest of Bermuda has become elongated and the associated shower activity remains poorly organized. Development of this system, if any, is likely to be slow to occur due to the proximity of dry air during the next couple of days. This low is forecast to move westward and then west-northwestward at about 10 mph toward the coast of North Carolina where conditions are not favorable for development. For additional information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent A tropical wave is expected to move offshore of the west coast of Africa on Tuesday. Conditions appear favorable for development of this system later next week while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph over the tropical eastern Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Avila
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2016-08-27 19:32:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 271732 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT SAT AUG 27 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Gaston, located more than 700 miles east-southeast of Bermuda. A weak area of low pressure located between the northern coast of Cuba and Andros Island in the Bahamas continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms, mainly to the south and east of its center. Upper-level winds are not conducive for significant development during the next day or so while the low moves west-northwestward through the Straits of Florida at about 10 mph. Environmental conditions could become a little more conducive for some development when the system moves into the eastern Gulf of Mexico early next week. Heavy rains are likely to continue over portions of eastern and central Cuba today. Gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall are likely over portions of the Bahamas, and will spread into parts of southern Florida and the Florida Keys by Sunday. Interests elsewhere in Florida and the eastern Gulf of Mexico should continue to monitor the progress of this disturbance. The Hurricane Hunter aircraft mission scheduled to investigate this system today has been canceled. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent A broad area of low pressure located about 140 miles southwest of Bermuda is producing winds of 30 to 35 mph. Shower and thunderstorm activity has not become any better organized during the past few hours, and significant development of this system is likely to be slow to occur due the proximity of dry air during the next couple of days while it moves westward and then west-northwestward at about 10 mph toward the coast of North Carolina. After that time, increasing vertical wind shear is expected to make development unlikely. For additional information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent A weak trough of low pressure located south of the coast of southwestern Louisiana is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity over the north-central Gulf of Mexico. Conditions are not expected to be conducive for development before this system reaches the coast of Texas on Sunday. However, heavy rainfall is possible along the Gulf Coast from Louisiana to southeastern Texas during the next few days. For additional information, please see products from your local National Weather Service office. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent A tropical wave is expected to move offshore of the west coast of Africa on Tuesday. Conditions appear favorable for development of this system later next week while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml. $$ Forecaster Brennan
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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